NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	2.9 [1211]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +10.8%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	1.4 [454]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -9.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	8	89%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.05	7	53%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	16	64%	0.06	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Marquis Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.01	0.06	17	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.02	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Malcolm Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.14	0.00	0.14	6	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	3	87%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	13	27%	-0.08	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.2	15.0	31.2	2.6	27.4	129.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.0%

CHI +7.6%

CHI +8.6%

CHI +1.5%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	15.4	116.5	97.9	104.1
season	16.6	14.6		101.7	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	17.0	12.6	19.9	16.2
GSW	14.7	13.7	13.6	11.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	66	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.37	36	-18	54	15.1	18.6	-3.58	14.2	11.9	2.29
Nate Robinson	54	54	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	-3	24	15.0	17.7	-2.68	14.6	12.1	2.50
Carlos Boozer	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.43	32	-14	46	14.8	19.3	-4.53	13.9	12.5	1.43
Luol Deng	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-1	20	15.2	19.2	-4.03	14.0	12.0	2.08
Marco Belinelli	82	82	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	3	12	16.4	15.2	1.19	13.2	14.9	-1.63
Jimmy Butler	59	59	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	20	-22	18.0	13.4	4.67	13.1	14.0	-0.89
Daequan Cook	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	28	-38	20.4	15.7	4.69	11.0	13.8	-2.80
Marquis Teague	43	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	21	-24	17.7	15.0	2.68	12.1	14.6	-2.50
Nazr Mohammed	31	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.34	-18	36	-54	18.6	15.1	3.58	11.9	14.2	-2.29

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	33	32	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.20	-1	-17	16	13.0	13.7	-0.78	16.8	15.9	0.90
Festus Ezeli	20	22	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.09	-1	-17	16	15.1	13.1	2.04	14.1	16.8	-2.74
Draymond Green	31	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.49	18	-36	54	12.8	13.8	-0.95	17.7	15.5	2.16
Richard Jefferson	29	30	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.41	14	-32	46	12.5	13.9	-1.43	19.3	14.8	4.53
Malcolm Thomas	18	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-33	48	11.1	14.0	-2.91	20.2	15.2	4.98
Kent Bazemore	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-31	44	11.9	13.9	-2.04	19.9	15.1	4.86
Andris Biedrins	7	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.22	-8	-10	2	12.1	13.6	-1.45	15.7	16.2	-0.58
Jarrett Jack	60	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.40	-16	-2	-14	14.0	12.6	1.48	15.7	17.0	-1.24
Harrison Barnes	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-15	12	12.9	14.1	-1.23	17.5	14.9	2.55
Stephen Curry	62	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.44	-32	14	-46	13.9	12.7	1.16	15.0	18.3	-3.29
Klay Thompson	67	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.45	-34	16	-50	13.9	12.7	1.18	14.8	19.1	-4.30
David Lee	50	49	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.28	-30	12	-42	14.4	12.6	1.81	14.8	17.6	-2.81
Andrew Bogut	37	36	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.10	-25	7	-32	14.1	13.1	0.96	14.2	17.4	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DAL 114, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
PHI 89, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%