NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	5.4 [134]		MVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): +15.9%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.6 [181]		LVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): -10.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kris Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.09,-0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.07	7	86%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rayan Rupert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	23	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Clingan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	25	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Scoot Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	11	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.03	10	68%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	-0.06	16	57%	0.19	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	23	51%	0.09	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	12	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	24.7	15.6	25.2	2.3	31.6	127.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.0%

PHX +3.8%

PHX +10.8%

POR -10.4%

PHX +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	14.4	95.1	100.0	112.0
season	14.1	14.9		105.6	112.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.8	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	13.6	14.3	10.3	13.5
PHX	11.8	15.2	13.9	17.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalano Banton	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.50	18	-24	42	10.9	14.2	-3.28	19.9	13.1	6.73
Deni Avdija	69	70	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-18	30	13.2	14.0	-0.77	14.7	14.6	0.05
Rayan Rupert	15	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	6	-18	14.2	13.3	0.88	13.6	14.8	-1.28
Deandre Ayton	67	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-7	8	13.4	13.5	-0.10	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Toumani Camara	73	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-7	8	13.2	14.1	-0.86	14.7	14.5	0.22
Donovan Clingan	27	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	10	-26	14.3	13.2	1.10	14.9	14.5	0.40
Kris Murray	31	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	12	-30	14.3	13.1	1.25	12.2	15.6	-3.34
Anfernee Simons	87	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.49	6	-12	18	13.3	14.2	-0.88	14.8	13.6	1.28
Jerami Grant	81	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-8	10	13.4	13.7	-0.27	15.4	11.6	3.71
Scoot Henderson	37	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	18	-42	14.8	12.7	2.18	12.5	15.9	-3.40

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	76	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-1	8	14.8	14.3	0.47	13.5	13.3	0.14
Kevin Durant	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-3	12	14.4	15.8	-1.44	13.5	13.3	0.19
Jusuf Nurkic	53	53	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-9	24	13.8	15.5	-1.75	14.3	12.6	1.69
Bradley Beal	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.45	-4	10	-14	15.3	13.0	2.30	13.2	14.1	-0.94
Royce O'Neale	54	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	6	-6	13.1	16.3	-3.14	12.6	14.3	-1.67
Tyus Jones	58	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	1	4	15.0	14.2	0.86	14.1	12.6	1.50
Ryan Dunn	29	29	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	14.3	14.8	-0.46	13.2	13.5	-0.29
Monte Morris	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	10	-14	14.9	14.6	0.37	12.0	13.8	-1.76
Grayson Allen	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	1	4	15.4	14.2	1.24	13.9	13.2	0.79
Mason Plumlee	34	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	14	-22	15.9	14.0	1.85	13.2	13.6	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 74, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 86, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NOP 106, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%