NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	106		Excitement	4.3 [948]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +15.7%
Denver Nuggets	122		Comeback	1.3 [1065]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -8.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexis Ajinca	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	10	71%	0.05	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quinn Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.08	16	61%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	27	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.04	0.09	14	83%	0.21	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Gary Harris	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	14	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	6	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	77%	0.15	7	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	28.0	14.8	25.3	2.4	28.6	124.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +43.5%

DEN +5.4%

DEN +6.3%

NOP -9.7%

DEN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DEN	NBA	NOP	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.2	14.8	103.9	116.2	107.7
season	14.1	14.4		104.1	111.6
opponent	14.5	15.0		111.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	15.4	14.4	14.8	14.6
DEN	12.6	12.9	12.4	15.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinn Cook	48	50	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-19	22	14.5	14.7	-0.22	14.4	12.2	2.20
Cheick Diallo	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-18	20	14.7	14.6	0.17	15.2	12.6	2.62
Jordan Crawford	61	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-14	12	14.4	15.0	-0.56	14.1	11.9	2.14
Anthony Davis	51	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-14	12	15.1	14.1	1.04	12.5	14.0	-1.53
Alexis Ajinca	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-11	6	14.4	15.0	-0.57	13.1	13.4	-0.34
Dante Cunningham	48	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-3	-10	14.6	14.6	0.01	13.0	13.4	-0.36
Donatas Motiejunas	35	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	1	-18	13.8	15.0	-1.24	13.9	12.9	1.05
E'Twaun Moore	41	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-2	-12	15.0	14.4	0.56	11.7	14.3	-2.56
Solomon Hill	88	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.08	-13	-3	-10	14.8	13.7	1.05	13.2	13.5	-0.31
Jrue Holiday	54	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	3	-22	14.7	14.5	0.22	12.2	14.4	-2.20

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	71	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-7	30	13.3	13.0	0.34	15.0	13.8	1.23
Nikola Jokic	67	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	-2	20	12.3	14.9	-2.57	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Jamal Murray	82	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	4	8	13.1	13.6	-0.49	15.1	13.1	1.92
Gary Harris	82	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	-6	28	13.1	13.5	-0.38	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Mason Plumlee	56	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	2	12	14.7	11.5	3.22	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Wilson Chandler	62	60	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.24	15	1	14	14.0	12.1	1.92	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Emmanuel Mudiay	40	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	10	-4	14.1	12.7	1.45	13.7	15.2	-1.46
Kenneth Faried	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	15	-14	12.5	13.6	-1.14	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Mike Miller	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	9.8	13.4	-3.60	15.5	14.6	0.94
Roy Hibbert	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	9.8	13.4	-3.60	15.5	14.6	0.94
Malik Beasley	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	9.8	13.4	-3.60	15.5	14.6	0.94
Juan Hernangomez	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	12.1	13.3	-1.22	15.3	14.5	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
GSW 85, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%