NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	4.8 [847]		MVP	Darrick Martin (SAC): +6.0%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	1.4 [944]		LVP	Nick Anderson (SAC): -16.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	7	53%	0.06	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	61%	0.06	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	16	44%	0.00	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.03	0.04	13	36%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	10	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	75%	0.13	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	81%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	18	63%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.04
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	13	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	7	35%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	28.8	15.8	31.2	1.7	28.3	132.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +52.3%

SAC -2.6%

PHX +11.2%

SAC -10.5%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	12.7	15.2	88.6	105.6	101.7
season	13.8	14.8		102.9	101.4
opponent	15.3	14.7		96.8	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	13.0	16.0	14.8	14.3
PHX	10.6	12.7	13.0	15.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	37	37	0.15	-0.66	0.81	0.10	2	-23	25	13.7	14.7	-0.93	15.1	11.5	3.66
Tony Delk	48	48	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-30	39	13.8	14.8	-1.04	13.2	12.3	0.86
Tyrone Corbin	56	58	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-27	33	13.9	14.9	-0.98	12.7	12.7	-0.02
Scot Pollard	49	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-18	15	14.2	14.4	-0.17	13.2	12.3	0.87
Lawrence Funderburke	44	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-17	13	14.5	14.2	0.29	12.7	12.7	-0.02
Chris Webber	64	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-4	-13	14.4	14.2	0.23	13.1	12.2	0.85
Vlade Divac	52	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-3	-15	14.4	14.2	0.22	12.1	13.4	-1.31
Corliss Williamson	49	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.27	-27	6	-33	14.9	13.9	0.98	12.7	12.7	0.02
Nick Anderson	57	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.28	-30	9	-39	14.8	13.8	1.04	12.3	13.2	-0.86
Jason Williams	69	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.02	-23	2	-25	14.4	14.1	0.34	11.4	15.4	-4.07

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	80	78	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.30	32	-11	43	12.3	14.0	-1.71	14.8	12.9	1.89
Randy Livingston	50	47	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-4	29	13.8	11.8	1.99	15.0	13.8	1.28
Anfernee Hardaway	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.17	21	0	21	13.2	11.5	1.70	14.7	13.3	1.37
Shawn Marion	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	10	1	12.7	12.7	0.01	14.8	13.9	0.93
Oliver Miller	58	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	8	5	12.5	13.0	-0.57	14.9	13.7	1.25
Luc Longley	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	12	-3	13.5	12.3	1.20	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	51	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	10	1	12.1	13.3	-1.16	14.5	14.2	0.27
Jason Kidd	48	48	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	21	-21	11.5	13.7	-2.18	13.5	15.0	-1.50
Toby Bailey	46	44	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	27	-33	11.8	13.4	-1.62	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Corie Blount	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	14.7	12.6	2.12	11.4	14.5	-3.11
Todd Day	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	15.2	12.5	2.72	11.4	14.5	-3.11
Don MacLean	27	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	30	-39	13.8	12.4	1.44	12.9	14.8	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 106, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 88, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%