NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	4.5 [947]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +9.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.5 [867]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -19.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	16	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	14	53%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	7	67%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Johan Petro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	5	-0.13	2	0%	-0.02
Devin Harris	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.05	0.03	13	41%	-0.11	4	-0.08	13	77%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	12	72%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	89%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	5	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	10	45%	0.01	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.0	31.1	15.4	27.5	2.3	34.5	139.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.9%

MIN +17.7%

NJN -2.7%

MIN +6.7%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	96.7	114.4	105.7
season	16.4	14.3		101.6	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	15.4	18.3	16.4	16.4
MIN	13.6	15.9	15.3	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	5	5	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-17	19	17.8	16.3	1.49	17.4	15.3	2.09
Sasha Vujacic	67	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-17	19	15.9	17.8	-1.90	16.0	14.0	2.05
Ben Uzoh	36	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-14	13	17.0	16.0	1.00	16.6	14.7	1.87
Kris Humphries	56	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-9	3	17.1	15.3	1.71	14.4	16.9	-2.44
Derrick Favors	22	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-6	-3	14.5	17.0	-2.56	16.1	15.2	0.95
Johan Petro	41	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-6	-3	15.7	16.9	-1.21	16.2	14.8	1.38
Brook Lopez	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-10	5	17.5	14.6	2.89	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Devin Harris	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-1	-13	16.4	16.5	-0.12	15.1	16.3	-1.19
Stephen Graham	47	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	0	-15	16.1	16.7	-0.69	14.7	16.3	-1.69
Travis Outlaw	60	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	5	-25	16.3	16.6	-0.28	15.1	16.1	-1.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	69	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.04	17	-2	19	15.5	15.3	0.18	17.5	12.5	4.99
Luke Ridnour	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-2	19	15.1	16.0	-0.85	16.0	17.1	-1.05
Michael Beasley	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	5	5	14.8	17.2	-2.44	15.3	19.1	-3.75
Darko Milicic	36	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-1	17	15.2	15.6	-0.43	16.1	16.6	-0.45
Wesley Johnson	32	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	5	5	15.0	15.7	-0.70	16.8	16.2	0.57
Corey Brewer	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	4	7	15.8	14.9	0.90	16.5	16.2	0.32
Nikola Pekovic	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	11	-7	15.2	15.6	-0.45	17.0	15.9	1.03
Sebastian Telfair	29	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	17	-19	16.0	15.1	0.85	17.1	16.0	1.05
Martell Webster	45	46	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	15	-15	15.9	14.9	0.98	16.6	16.2	0.34
Sundiata Gaines	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	18.0	15.4	2.64	9.5	16.6	-7.05
Wayne Ellington	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	18.0	15.3	2.67	9.3	16.6	-7.30
Kosta Koufos	14	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	20	-25	16.8	15.2	1.61	15.4	16.6	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
GSW 85, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 86, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%