NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	85		Excitement	4.6 [921]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (CHI): +9.3%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.2 [1050]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -11.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	12	63%	0.06	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.02	-0.07	8	19%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	12	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	11	35%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Speedy Claxton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	12	63%	-0.01	5	-0.10	14	64%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	11	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.05	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	9	56%	0.07	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	13	65%	0.09	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	30.8	16.8	29.1	2.4	29.7	138.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.6%

GSW -0.7%

CHI +8.0%

CHI +2.0%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	15.5	85.9	94.0	104.0
season	15.0	15.1		102.3	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.2		98.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	14.3	15.6	12.9	14.2
CHI	14.3	13.4	13.8	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	33	32	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.21	11	-20	31	13.9	14.3	-0.35	14.2	15.0	-0.86
Derek Fisher	53	55	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-18	27	13.9	14.4	-0.49	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Zarko Cabarkapa	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-2	-5	14.8	14.0	0.87	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Mickael Pietrus	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-6	3	13.9	14.5	-0.62	14.8	14.8	0.03
Calbert Cheaney	39	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	2	-13	14.8	13.8	1.03	14.0	15.3	-1.24
Troy Murphy	60	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-7	5	14.3	14.0	0.28	15.4	13.9	1.55
Mike Dunleavy	84	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	0	-9	13.7	16.7	-2.94	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Speedy Claxton	75	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	6	-21	14.3	13.7	0.56	15.0	14.0	0.94
Clifford Robinson	73	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	9	-27	14.4	13.6	0.81	15.0	14.2	0.79

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	73	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.10	26	-17	43	14.6	15.1	-0.47	14.3	13.8	0.54
Adrian Griffin	33	32	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-7	23	14.2	15.1	-0.92	14.6	14.0	0.58
Kirk Hinrich	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	14.3	16.1	-1.84	13.9	15.1	-1.27
Tyson Chandler	58	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	3	3	15.0	14.5	0.51	14.6	13.6	0.92
Chris Duhon	56	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	15.3	14.1	1.25	14.9	13.2	1.70
Eric Piatkowski	53	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	11	-13	15.0	14.5	0.57	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Luol Deng	35	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	6	-3	13.3	15.6	-2.28	13.7	14.4	-0.75
Eddy Curry	53	53	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.30	-9	18	-27	15.2	14.3	0.81	14.3	14.0	0.28
Ben Gordon	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	8	-7	14.5	14.8	-0.32	13.6	14.3	-0.73
Andres Nocioni	43	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	17	-25	15.8	14.0	1.87	13.8	14.5	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, BKN 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
BOS 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 105, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%