NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	3.4 [1112]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): +7.8%
Brooklyn Nets	101		Comeback	1.1 [1196]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): -9.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	8	72%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	10	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Maurice Harkless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Doron Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	1	120%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	9	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	59%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	2	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	26.2	15.4	26.4	1.7	25.3	121.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +31.8%

BKN +0.9%

BKN +8.3%

BKN +10.1%

ORL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.1	100.0	111.0	105.2
season	15.3	15.7		100.4	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.9	14.7	17.3	13.3	15.5
BKN	16.6	18.0	13.2	17.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	28	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.33	13	-24	37	14.7	15.9	-1.21	16.6	16.1	0.51
Maurice Harkless	45	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-19	27	14.0	17.1	-3.13	17.6	14.9	2.74
Doron Lamb	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-20	29	13.9	15.7	-1.85	18.5	16.0	2.50
Kyle O'Quinn	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-14	17	14.6	16.5	-1.91	16.4	16.2	0.24
E'Twaun Moore	46	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-14	17	14.1	17.0	-2.89	17.7	14.8	2.92
Jameer Nelson	52	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	17.3	13.1	4.18	15.1	18.0	-2.95
Glen Davis	44	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	3	-17	16.5	14.6	1.91	16.2	16.4	-0.24
Tobias Harris	62	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.15	-24	13	-37	15.9	14.7	1.21	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Victor Oladipo	59	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.14	-24	13	-37	15.6	15.4	0.19	15.8	17.1	-1.22
Arron Afflalo	58	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.05	-21	10	-31	16.5	13.8	2.74	15.2	18.1	-2.90

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	57	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.06	22	-11	33	15.3	17.9	-2.61	16.4	14.1	2.29
Paul Pierce	43	45	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	-12	35	16.2	16.4	-0.21	16.6	14.5	2.07
Shaun Livingston	44	44	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-8	27	16.6	16.0	0.57	16.5	14.6	1.87
Alan Anderson	39	40	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	9	-7	17.3	15.5	1.72	16.1	15.1	1.09
Kevin Garnett	33	34	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	-2	15	16.3	16.2	0.09	16.7	14.8	1.91
Andray Blatche	48	46	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	4	3	15.8	16.8	-1.07	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Deron Williams	54	54	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	12	-13	16.4	16.1	0.28	14.8	16.7	-1.92
Andrei Kirilenko	45	42	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	9	-7	15.0	17.5	-2.52	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Mason Plumlee	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	20	-29	18.5	16.0	2.50	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Mirza Teletovic	40	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	21	-31	17.3	15.5	1.83	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Jason Terry	42	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.31	-13	24	-37	16.7	15.9	0.86	14.0	16.9	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
GSW 85, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 77, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%