NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	3.8 [1073]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +16.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.2 [1067]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -9.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	61%	0.03	5	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.06	16	53%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	10	73%	0.21	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.05
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Selby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	16	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	34.5	16.8	37.2	3.6	35.3	155.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +12.7%

MEM +14.2%

MEM +18.8%

NYK -1.6%

MEM +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.4	108.0	120.7	104.1
season	16.2	16.5		107.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	17.4	18.0	13.0	16.0
MEM	17.4	16.9	16.3	17.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	14	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-17	24	15.8	16.1	-0.30	15.5	17.2	-1.63
Chris Copeland	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	12.7	16.2	-3.49	12.0	17.1	-5.06
James White	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	12.7	16.2	-3.49	12.0	17.1	-5.06
Steve Novak	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-16	22	15.3	16.5	-1.25	15.1	18.0	-2.90
Kurt Thomas	18	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-7	4	16.8	15.8	0.93	15.6	17.2	-1.54
Carmelo Anthony	55	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-12	14	15.7	16.6	-0.92	17.4	16.0	1.32
Ronnie Brewer	40	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	16.9	15.3	1.59	16.2	17.4	-1.29
J.R. Smith	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	15.8	16.5	-0.68	16.8	17.1	-0.27
Tyson Chandler	50	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	15.7	16.5	-0.87	17.3	16.2	1.11
Rasheed Wallace	43	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	5	-20	17.4	14.7	2.75	17.1	16.7	0.49
Jason Kidd	53	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	15.2	17.2	-1.98	18.2	14.9	3.30
Raymond Felton	64	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.05	-21	11	-32	16.5	14.7	1.88	17.4	15.6	1.86

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	70	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-10	30	16.6	18.2	-1.68	15.8	17.2	-1.41
Mike Conley	60	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-9	28	17.8	14.7	3.11	16.8	14.0	2.84
Tony Allen	45	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-8	26	16.9	16.9	-0.04	16.5	15.4	1.12
Rudy Gay	68	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-6	22	17.1	16.1	1.07	16.1	15.9	0.12
Zach Randolph	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	1	8	18.2	13.6	4.55	16.6	14.9	1.71
Quincy Pondexter	45	45	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	13	-16	16.2	17.6	-1.37	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Jerryd Bayless	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	12	-14	15.0	17.7	-2.70	15.4	16.3	-0.94
Josh Selby	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	12.0	17.1	-5.06	5.0	16.3	-11.29
Tony Wroten	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	12.0	17.1	-5.06	5.0	16.3	-11.29
Wayne Ellington	33	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.27	-10	20	-30	16.5	17.1	-0.60	14.8	16.7	-1.90
Marreese Speights	21	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.22	-9	19	-28	16.3	17.1	-0.73	16.8	15.8	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, BKN 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAL 90, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
BOS 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%