inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 89 Excitement3.4 [1090] MVPBo Outlaw (ORL): +7.7%
Orlando Magic 111 Comeback1.3 [863] LVPWalter McCarty (BOS): -14.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antoine Walker0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.001767%0.114-0.05580%0.00
Doug Overton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.090.000.08683%0.0100.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01558%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Pervis Ellison0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dana Barros-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02458%0.012-0.024100%0.01
Tony Battie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02217%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.02-0.03855%0.053-0.08475%-0.02
Adrian Griffin-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.04840%-0.022-0.034100%0.00
Kenny Anderson-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01847%-0.023-0.061100%0.01
Walter McCarty-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.051325%-0.062-0.082100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.00-0.03768%0.0800.00560%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.02680%0.082-0.02367%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.01-0.05744%0.0500.00250%-0.01
John Amaechi0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.021167%0.071-0.032100%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.04575%0.0200.002100%0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.011266%0.073-0.055100%0.02
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.033100%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.08-0.00-0.08344%0.001-0.001050%-0.00
Derek Strong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01460%0.011-0.022100%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.010.00550%-0.001-0.03475%0.00
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.000.03275%-0.011-0.03875%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.425.415.729.11.836.3134.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +27.3%
ORL +10.4%
BOS -8.3%
ORL +18.6%
ORL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game16.614.315.295.7119.4101.7
season14.713.6102.4100.4
opponent15.415.199.3103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.716.518.215.316.6
ORL16.814.813.912.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Fortson34330.00-0.500.500.21-7-15815.317.4-2.1415.014.01.06
Pervis Ellison34-0.02-0.480.450.06-3-191620.716.54.1813.214.4-1.14
Doug Overton3031-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-171215.817.0-1.2213.514.7-1.19
Calbert Cheaney2827-0.05-0.450.400.15-7-15816.716.60.0814.114.4-0.28
Tony Battie2423-0.16-0.340.17-0.222-242617.816.21.6315.913.82.08
Dana Barros2323-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-13416.216.8-0.6016.013.82.20
Walter McCarty7575-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-11016.915.61.3214.314.6-0.26
Kenny Anderson4343-0.32-0.18-0.150.03-12-10-217.715.71.9114.314.4-0.12
Vitaly Potapenko4548-0.34-0.16-0.180.24-20-2-1816.816.50.2613.914.8-0.84
Antoine Walker8078-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.00-16-6-1016.616.7-0.0813.916.7-2.77
Adrian Griffin8080-0.530.03-0.560.11-220-2216.218.9-2.6714.314.5-0.14

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw57570.67-0.170.83-0.1327-53214.614.00.5617.715.02.69
Tariq Abdul-Wahad55540.63-0.130.76-0.0423-12414.813.71.1617.615.32.35
John Amaechi42430.56-0.060.62-0.1725-32815.413.51.8918.115.32.78
Darrell Armstrong53530.54-0.040.58-0.112202214.713.80.8717.515.51.97
Ben Wallace58590.50-0.000.510.011751214.613.90.7817.115.91.17
Pat Garrity27280.020.48-0.460.02022-2212.215.2-2.9916.116.8-0.74
Derek Strong440.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1615.514.31.2113.216.8-3.53
Michael Doleac2120-0.030.53-0.57-0.06121-2015.414.01.4014.917.1-2.20
Chucky Atkins4040-0.040.54-0.58-0.04022-2213.814.7-0.8715.517.5-1.97
Chris Gatling3432-0.050.55-0.600.01-224-2613.414.9-1.4215.817.1-1.28
Corey Maggette3738-0.140.64-0.78-0.05-325-2813.814.7-0.9315.017.7-2.75
Monty Williams3737-0.150.65-0.81-0.07-325-2813.914.7-0.8015.217.5-2.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 93, PHX 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
GSW 85, CHI 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
NOP 106, DEN 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%