NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	3.4 [1090]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): +7.7%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.3 [863]		LVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): -14.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	17	67%	0.11	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Pervis Ellison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	58%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	8	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Adrian Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	8	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	13	25%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	68%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	80%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	5	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	66%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	3	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00
Derek Strong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.4	25.4	15.7	29.1	1.8	36.3	134.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +27.3%

ORL +10.4%

BOS -8.3%

ORL +18.6%

ORL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	15.2	95.7	119.4	101.7
season	14.7	13.6		102.4	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.7	16.5	18.2	15.3	16.6
ORL	16.8	14.8	13.9	12.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	34	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-15	8	15.3	17.4	-2.14	15.0	14.0	1.06
Pervis Ellison	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-19	16	20.7	16.5	4.18	13.2	14.4	-1.14
Doug Overton	30	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	-17	12	15.8	17.0	-1.22	13.5	14.7	-1.19
Calbert Cheaney	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.15	-7	-15	8	16.7	16.6	0.08	14.1	14.4	-0.28
Tony Battie	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-24	26	17.8	16.2	1.63	15.9	13.8	2.08
Dana Barros	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-13	4	16.2	16.8	-0.60	16.0	13.8	2.20
Walter McCarty	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-11	0	16.9	15.6	1.32	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Kenny Anderson	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-10	-2	17.7	15.7	1.91	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Vitaly Potapenko	45	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.24	-20	-2	-18	16.8	16.5	0.26	13.9	14.8	-0.84
Antoine Walker	80	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	-6	-10	16.6	16.7	-0.08	13.9	16.7	-2.77
Adrian Griffin	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.11	-22	0	-22	16.2	18.9	-2.67	14.3	14.5	-0.14

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.13	27	-5	32	14.6	14.0	0.56	17.7	15.0	2.69
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	55	54	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.04	23	-1	24	14.8	13.7	1.16	17.6	15.3	2.35
John Amaechi	42	43	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-3	28	15.4	13.5	1.89	18.1	15.3	2.78
Darrell Armstrong	53	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	0	22	14.7	13.8	0.87	17.5	15.5	1.97
Ben Wallace	58	59	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	5	12	14.6	13.9	0.78	17.1	15.9	1.17
Pat Garrity	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	22	-22	12.2	15.2	-2.99	16.1	16.8	-0.74
Derek Strong	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	15.5	14.3	1.21	13.2	16.8	-3.53
Michael Doleac	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	21	-20	15.4	14.0	1.40	14.9	17.1	-2.20
Chucky Atkins	40	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	22	-22	13.8	14.7	-0.87	15.5	17.5	-1.97
Chris Gatling	34	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	24	-26	13.4	14.9	-1.42	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Corey Maggette	37	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	25	-28	13.8	14.7	-0.93	15.0	17.7	-2.75
Monty Williams	37	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	25	-28	13.9	14.7	-0.80	15.2	17.5	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
GSW 85, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NOP 106, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%