NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	74		Excitement	4.0 [1045]		MVP	Hassan Whiteside (MIA): +8.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	1.4 [1175]		LVP	Luol Deng (MIA): -13.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.02	9	78%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	15	65%	0.12	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	12	67%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	16	34%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	5	17%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.08	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	15	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	20	53%	0.14	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	16	38%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.07	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	30.4	15.7	23.0	1.8	25.2	124.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +21.0%

OKC +0.4%

OKC +10.4%

OKC +15.4%

OKC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	OKC	NBA	MIA	OKC	NBA
this game	17.1	14.5	14.9	81.3	108.8	105.1
season	15.5	14.4		104.5	111.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.2	14.9	19.7	18.1	17.1
OKC	12.1	15.8	15.3	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	20.2	16.9	3.26	16.0	14.4	1.56
Gerald Green	23	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-24	23	15.9	17.5	-1.67	15.8	14.1	1.70
Amar'e Stoudemire	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.31	-13	-12	-1	17.6	16.9	0.72	16.0	14.0	1.94
Justise Winslow	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.25	-13	-12	-1	16.4	18.0	-1.51	16.2	12.5	3.68
Josh Richardson	38	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-11	-3	16.0	17.9	-1.88	15.2	14.1	1.10
Tyler Johnson	71	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-12	-1	17.4	16.0	1.44	15.0	12.4	2.60
Luol Deng	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-5	-15	17.3	16.8	0.48	13.3	16.9	-3.59
Hassan Whiteside	64	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-15	5	17.1	17.2	-0.09	13.8	16.2	-2.38
Dwyane Wade	57	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.20	-22	-3	-19	17.6	16.2	1.41	12.6	17.9	-5.31
Chris Bosh	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-9	-7	17.4	16.6	0.78	14.7	14.1	0.67

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	63	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	6	13	14.4	14.8	-0.42	16.9	17.7	-0.81
Kevin Durant	59	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	9	7	14.0	15.5	-1.50	17.6	16.3	1.30
Steven Adams	47	48	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	7	11	13.7	15.4	-1.66	17.6	16.6	1.02
Russell Westbrook	65	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	10	5	14.1	15.6	-1.47	17.5	16.3	1.15
Andre Roberson	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.29	24	1	23	13.5	16.5	-2.99	18.1	15.0	3.16
Dion Waiters	54	55	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.27	12	13	-1	15.2	13.5	1.71	16.1	18.6	-2.47
Cameron Payne	26	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.28	10	15	-5	15.6	14.1	1.47	16.3	17.5	-1.15
Mitch McGary	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	17.5	14.4	3.11	16.0	17.2	-1.16
Enes Kanter	35	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.18	5	20	-15	16.1	13.6	2.53	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Kyle Singler	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.25	7	18	-11	15.3	13.9	1.48	16.6	17.5	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MEM 108, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 92, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%