NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	3.9 [987]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +17.5%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.2 [868]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -11.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Doug West	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	15	59%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Heal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	21	44%	0.00	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	-0.03	-0.10	11	29%	-0.04	5	-0.07	2	50%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	16	71%	0.18	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	15	72%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	72%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	24.3	15.6	24.3	2.5	24.5	118.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.9%

CHI +10.9%

MIN -1.9%

CHI +8.9%

CHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	14.2	15.6	93.5	112.0	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		103.3	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.5		99.8	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.7	15.6	19.2	16.1	17.1
CHI	15.0	14.4	12.6	14.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	31	32	0.05	-0.54	0.59	-0.25	10	-27	37	15.9	17.8	-1.90	14.2	14.2	0.02
Shane Heal	13	14	0.00	-0.49	0.50	-0.20	7	-24	31	14.9	17.5	-2.57	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Terry Porter	32	31	-0.04	-0.45	0.41	0.11	-5	-12	7	15.9	17.8	-1.88	14.3	14.1	0.18
Cherokee Parks	43	42	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	-0.03	-1	-16	15	15.7	18.3	-2.60	14.5	13.9	0.60
Dean Garrett	32	33	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.06	-4	-13	9	16.3	17.5	-1.21	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Stojko Vrankovic	46	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-5	-7	18.0	16.2	1.83	13.8	14.5	-0.77
Tom Gugliotta	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	4	-25	18.0	14.4	3.58	14.5	13.2	1.21
Stephon Marbury	60	61	-0.45	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-5	-7	17.8	15.9	1.88	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Sam Mitchell	67	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.24	-25	8	-33	17.7	15.7	1.94	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Doug West	66	67	-0.52	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	5	-27	17.4	16.5	0.83	14.2	14.2	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	41	41	0.53	-0.04	0.57	-0.08	21	-4	25	13.8	14.5	-0.67	19.2	15.5	3.68
Robert Parish	37	36	0.52	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-3	23	14.2	14.1	0.07	19.7	15.5	4.17
Michael Jordan	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	-4	25	13.6	15.9	-2.26	18.0	14.5	3.50
Jason Caffey	53	53	0.41	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	11	-5	14.0	14.4	-0.32	18.2	15.7	2.50
Scottie Pippen	63	64	0.38	0.11	0.27	-0.15	18	-1	19	14.3	14.0	0.25	18.1	15.0	3.11
Toni Kukoc	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.23	13	4	9	14.3	14.1	0.21	16.0	18.3	-2.27
Jud Buechler	28	27	0.09	0.40	-0.31	0.09	0	17	-17	14.9	13.8	1.08	14.6	18.2	-3.54
Steve Kerr	46	46	0.08	0.41	-0.33	0.05	1	16	-15	14.6	13.7	0.87	15.0	19.2	-4.22
Bill Wennington	29	30	0.06	0.43	-0.37	-0.17	8	9	-1	14.4	14.0	0.40	16.1	17.6	-1.53
Dickey Simpkins	25	26	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.24	-11	28	-39	14.2	14.2	-0.02	14.8	18.0	-3.24
Randy Brown	22	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.24	-12	29	-41	14.2	14.2	0.07	15.0	17.8	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, CHH 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DAL 92, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHI 83, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%