NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	4.4 [916]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +9.1%
Charlotte Hornets	99		Comeback	1.4 [1039]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -17.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	12	56%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Stack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.06	9	56%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	16	43%	-0.08	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	18	37%	-0.10	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.05	14	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	-0.00	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	29.0	14.8	26.3	1.7	29.3	127.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +26.1%

CHH +18.8%

CLE -3.9%

CHH +7.6%

CHH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHH	NBA	CLE	CHH	NBA
this game	13.3	15.1	15.2	84.3	98.0	101.7
season	14.1	14.9		98.0	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.3	13.8	14.0	12.9	13.3
CHH	17.0	13.9	12.1	17.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Stack	23	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-9	5	12.7	13.5	-0.74	10.0	16.4	-6.46
Mark Bryant	35	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-9	5	14.1	12.9	1.18	14.3	15.4	-1.11
Lamond Murray	67	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-14	15	13.0	13.9	-0.87	16.0	13.3	2.63
Andre Miller	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-11	9	14.3	12.3	2.01	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Cedric Henderson	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	14.4	12.4	2.02	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Wesley Person	59	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	13.3	13.3	-0.02	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Shawn Kemp	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	14.0	12.0	2.02	16.3	12.8	3.52
Bob Sura	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	12.3	15.2	-2.91	15.2	14.7	0.50
Andrew DeClercq	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	0	-13	12.7	13.9	-1.24	15.9	14.2	1.68
Brevin Knight	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	12.4	14.2	-1.71	15.9	14.2	1.72

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	44	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-11	35	13.0	16.7	-3.71	14.6	12.3	2.25
David Wesley	53	53	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.08	21	-8	29	15.0	15.1	-0.07	13.2	13.4	-0.22
Elden Campbell	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-1	15	15.7	13.3	2.32	13.3	13.3	0.00
Anthony Mason	83	85	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	4	5	15.3	14.1	1.23	12.5	17.4	-4.85
Eddie Jones	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	7	-1	16.2	13.0	3.12	12.7	14.4	-1.62
Bobby Phills	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	10	-7	14.8	15.4	-0.59	13.3	13.3	0.02
Brad Miller	32	34	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	14	-15	14.5	15.3	-0.83	14.4	12.8	1.56
Derrick Coleman	49	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	16	-19	14.9	15.2	-0.37	13.6	13.0	0.56
Baron Davis	48	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	21	-29	15.1	15.0	0.07	13.4	13.2	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHX 92, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 92, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%