inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 110 Excitement3.7 [1028] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): +18.8%
Denver Nuggets 142 Comeback1.2 [1187] LVPJalen Johnson (ATL): -9.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.00-0.021078%0.142-0.023100%0.01
Garrison Mathews0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.000.02673%0.0800.003100%0.01
Clint Capela0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.140.000.10679%0.081-0.021275%-0.01
Vit Krejci0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03350%0.0400.0000%0.00
De'Andre Hunter0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.031162%0.063-0.05786%-0.00
Mouhamed Gueye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.010,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.041541%0.032-0.04475%-0.01
Kobe Bufkin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruno Fernando-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01933%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Johnson-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.011847%-0.016-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.210.020.0412100%0.232-0.0500%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011167%0.133-0.052100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.021364%0.0710.00250%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.04872%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.140.000.101277%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.043133%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.021359%0.074-0.04683%0.01
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02383%0.0200.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.04450%0.042-0.022100%0.00
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01383%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Hunter Tyson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jay Huff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.332.614.724.92.425.6129.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +43.7%
ATL -2.8%
DEN +9.4%
DEN +0.2%
ATL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDENNBAATLDENNBA
this game14.013.214.5104.8135.2113.9
season14.214.9115.7116.6
opponent14.614.3111.7118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.114.213.314.514.0
DEN12.013.014.313.713.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mouhamed Gueye980.00-0.500.500.21-7-251813.414.1-0.6511.713.4-1.61
Kobe Bufkin3129-0.06-0.440.370.08-5-272214.214.00.1712.913.4-0.47
Clint Capela6666-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-4-282414.114.00.0613.612.61.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic6668-0.20-0.300.090.03-8-241614.014.2-0.1813.313.20.08
Jalen Johnson7375-0.21-0.290.090.03-8-241614.014.1-0.1213.113.7-0.65
Vit Krejci5754-0.29-0.21-0.080.41-24-8-1613.914.2-0.2413.413.10.27
Bruno Fernando3939-0.31-0.19-0.110.52-28-4-2414.014.1-0.0612.613.6-1.03
De'Andre Hunter6465-0.38-0.12-0.270.20-20-12-814.014.1-0.1013.512.90.59
Garrison Mathews4241-0.41-0.09-0.330.44-29-3-2614.713.61.1713.513.10.37
Dejounte Murray7880-0.44-0.06-0.380.35-27-5-2213.914.5-0.6013.313.10.16

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope62620.390.110.28-0.2321111013.013.6-0.5813.315.1-1.83
Nikola Jokic68680.350.150.20-0.211913613.013.8-0.8013.614.8-1.23
Christian Braun55540.320.180.14-0.061319-613.513.00.4913.714.4-0.65
Jamal Murray47460.320.180.14-0.091418-412.513.8-1.3214.014.1-0.15
Peyton Watson61610.270.230.04-0.201616013.013.6-0.6113.914.2-0.36
Michael Porter Jr.51510.230.27-0.05-0.211517-213.612.90.6815.013.11.83
Reggie Jackson51510.180.32-0.14-0.141121-1014.112.41.7514.213.90.38
Zeke Nnaji30290.150.35-0.20-0.02626-2014.312.81.4415.313.61.71
Julian Strawther27270.150.35-0.20-0.06725-1813.613.10.5314.214.00.20
Justin Holiday51510.140.36-0.21-0.351715213.313.20.0314.513.60.99
Hunter Tyson890.000.50-0.50-0.21725-1811.713.4-1.6113.414.1-0.65
Jalen Pickett780.000.50-0.50-0.21725-1811.613.4-1.7913.214.1-0.85
Jay Huff780.000.50-0.50-0.21725-1811.613.4-1.7913.214.1-0.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 95, MIA 1180.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
GSW 86, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
WAS 79, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%