NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	3.6 [1065]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +15.1%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.1 [999]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -12.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	19	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Perovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	17	53%	0.07	6	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	9	27%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.05	11	9%	-0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.01	0.04	21	65%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Josh Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	25	56%	0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	15	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	6	31%	-0.01	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	3.0	30.2	19.3	23.6	3.6	29.4	139.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.3%

GSW -1.9%

DAL +12.7%

DAL +6.2%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.7	15.4	89.6	114.4	105.7
season	13.5	16.1		109.8	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		105.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	15.0	14.5	12.9	14.1
DAL	14.6	14.4	16.2	17.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-27	29	14.1	14.2	-0.05	18.5	15.3	3.12
Kosta Perovic	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	12.7	14.3	-1.54	18.0	15.5	2.52
Brandan Wright	30	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	-18	11	13.1	14.6	-1.57	16.9	15.0	1.89
Al Harrington	40	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-22	19	12.9	15.0	-2.14	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Matt Barnes	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-19	13	15.2	13.9	1.26	17.5	15.2	2.28
CJ Watson	17	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-18	11	15.6	13.8	1.75	17.2	15.3	1.89
Austin Croshere	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-18	11	14.7	13.9	0.80	16.1	15.5	0.59
Kelenna Azubuike	62	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.26	-15	-10	-5	13.8	14.7	-0.87	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Andris Biedrins	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-12	-1	14.7	13.6	1.08	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Monta Ellis	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	-3	-19	14.1	14.3	-0.26	14.9	18.5	-3.56
Baron Davis	75	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	-7	-11	14.5	13.0	1.41	15.7	15.6	0.07
Stephen Jackson	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.28	-27	2	-29	14.2	13.9	0.36	14.9	17.6	-2.72

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	81	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.37	34	-9	43	15.1	18.4	-3.29	14.6	11.6	3.02
Josh Howard	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.12	23	2	21	15.4	16.7	-1.28	14.6	12.7	1.89
Erick Dampier	52	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	12	1	15.6	15.8	-0.20	14.7	13.4	1.28
Jason Kidd	71	70	0.28	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	13	-1	14.7	18.4	-3.68	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Devean George	47	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.18	15	10	5	17.7	13.8	3.86	14.0	14.3	-0.37
Eddie Jones	39	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	15	-5	15.9	15.5	0.39	13.9	14.3	-0.46
Dirk Nowitzki	59	55	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	16	-7	15.0	16.7	-1.72	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Malik Allen	34	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.21	13	12	1	16.2	15.4	0.79	13.4	14.5	-1.11
Tyronn Lue	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	19.7	15.4	4.24	10.8	14.3	-3.53
Antoine Wright	12	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	25	-25	16.2	15.6	0.54	14.3	14.1	0.17
Brandon Bass	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	29	-33	19.1	15.3	3.77	11.0	14.5	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 75, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 90, MIN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ATL 77, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%