inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Excitement3.3 [1133] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +14.7%
Miami Heat 118 Comeback1.2 [1286] LVPCaron Butler (MIL): -6.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Henson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.13-0.010.111075%0.0200.004100%0.01
Nate Wolters0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01850%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Gary Neal0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.091169%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Miroslav Raduljica0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.03644%-0.001-0.00475%0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03869%0.013-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Knight-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.02260%0.024-0.056100%0.01
O.J. Mayo-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00650%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.01433%0.003-0.061100%0.01
Khris Middleton-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00939%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Caron Butler-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.031533%-0.032-0.0400%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.010.042169%0.213-0.06650%-0.02
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.02675%0.0900.00875%-0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.130.000.071268%0.0700.00425%-0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.023117%0.0600.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.01646%0.0200.001100%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01945%0.041-0.03475%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.04564%-0.011-0.0210%-0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.00-0.05757%0.056-0.0900%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.010.000.05667%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.827.015.825.22.325.7126.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.1%
MIL -0.8%
MIL -3.7%
MIA +3.6%
MIA +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game16.113.215.196.0120.4105.2
season15.715.6101.4109.7
opponent15.815.1105.1109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.316.117.215.716.1
MIA11.312.713.315.613.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miroslav Raduljica2020-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-262916.016.1-0.0316.412.34.08
Giannis Antetokounmpo4442-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-222115.516.5-1.0714.412.22.19
Ekpe Udoh3935-0.15-0.350.200.12-9-14514.317.2-2.8713.912.81.10
Brandon Knight4846-0.19-0.310.120.19-13-10-316.016.1-0.1413.812.51.31
Gary Neal5553-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-14515.416.9-1.5113.812.41.39
John Henson5352-0.25-0.250.000.22-16-7-915.616.6-1.0513.113.3-0.20
Zaza Pachulia3637-0.25-0.25-0.000.01-9-14517.515.22.2912.513.5-1.03
Khris Middleton4748-0.29-0.21-0.090.09-13-10-316.815.41.4512.014.2-2.18
Nate Wolters5152-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-13316.116.00.1412.513.8-1.31
Caron Butler5052-0.35-0.15-0.200.09-15-8-716.915.21.6812.014.5-2.50
O.J. Mayo5253-0.46-0.04-0.420.21-230-2316.615.51.1112.513.9-1.36

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade66670.410.090.32-0.151941512.614.2-1.6315.118.1-2.94
Rashard Lewis48500.340.160.18-0.221941513.612.70.9715.516.7-1.19
LeBron James62620.320.180.14-0.09149512.314.6-2.2616.515.41.06
Chris Bosh49480.300.200.09-0.031112-112.314.0-1.6516.715.51.20
Shane Battier56550.280.220.05-0.13149512.514.0-1.4416.815.21.56
Mario Chalmers52520.260.240.01-0.041013-312.214.2-1.9216.615.51.11
Norris Cole46470.240.26-0.01-0.141310314.212.21.9215.516.6-1.11
Chris Andersen40420.200.30-0.09-0.181310313.612.90.7114.817.0-2.19
Michael Beasley39410.180.32-0.14-0.02716-914.612.22.3415.016.9-1.91
James Jones660.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2114.713.11.6118.815.92.94
Joel Anthony990.000.50-0.500.03-124-2515.812.92.8918.715.82.86
Roger Mason Jr.1716-0.020.52-0.550.12-528-3315.112.72.3819.815.34.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 94, MIL 1270.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
NJN 93, SAC 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIN 93, OKC 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%