NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	3.0 [1182]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +14.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	127		Comeback	1.1 [1172]		LVP	Damien Wilkins (MIN): -7.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	13	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	15	59%	0.01	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	44%	-0.04	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.23	0.00	0.08	11	96%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	8	86%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	6	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	16	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	3	67%	0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	-0.00	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	27.5	15.5	30.2	2.7	33.6	134.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +50.4%

MIL +2.5%

MIL +0.4%

MIN -3.7%

MIL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIL	NBA	MIN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.1	15.3	93.1	125.7	106.0
season	14.7	15.5		100.1	103.3
opponent	15.5	14.8		101.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.2	14.9	17.5	11.6	15.4
MIL	11.1	16.4	12.5	12.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.39	-14	-19	5	11.5	16.5	-4.91	12.4	13.3	-0.90
Sasha Pavlovic	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-25	17	12.7	16.2	-3.43	13.2	13.1	0.05
Oleksiy Pecherov	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-27	21	16.4	15.3	1.10	13.7	13.1	0.63
Wayne Ellington	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.30	-15	-18	3	14.1	16.5	-2.47	13.0	13.2	-0.17
Kevin Love	65	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.30	-15	-18	3	14.8	16.5	-1.69	13.1	13.1	0.05
Ramon Sessions	48	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.23	-13	-20	7	13.2	17.3	-4.07	13.5	12.8	0.74
Ryan Hollins	18	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-22	11	14.3	15.6	-1.28	12.1	13.4	-1.30
Al Jefferson	61	59	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-23	13	16.8	13.3	3.50	13.7	12.3	1.36
Ryan Gomes	42	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-23	13	15.6	15.2	0.40	13.4	12.9	0.50
Corey Brewer	54	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	-16	-1	16.6	14.0	2.63	13.4	12.9	0.48
Damien Wilkins	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-19	5	19.5	12.9	6.55	12.4	13.6	-1.18
Jonny Flynn	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.49	-32	-1	-31	15.9	13.7	2.21	12.9	13.7	-0.79

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	50	52	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	15	3	13.4	12.9	0.50	18.4	12.2	6.22
Andrew Bogut	45	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	16	1	12.6	13.6	-0.99	18.6	12.7	5.96
Brandon Jennings	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	14	5	13.2	13.0	0.18	17.3	12.7	4.66
Carlos Delfino	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.24	21	12	9	13.0	13.5	-0.50	16.4	13.2	3.21
Hakim Warrick	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	25	-17	13.7	12.8	0.85	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Ersan Ilyasova	47	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.48	23	10	13	12.1	14.1	-1.99	13.7	16.7	-3.06
Jerry Stackhouse	65	63	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.40	19	14	5	13.4	12.6	0.76	13.0	19.4	-6.43
Luke Ridnour	43	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.29	14	19	-5	13.0	13.2	-0.18	12.7	17.3	-4.66
Kurt Thomas	43	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.18	10	23	-13	14.2	12.3	1.84	13.3	16.9	-3.59
Luc Mbah a Moute	19	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	31	-29	14.7	12.8	1.98	19.2	14.4	4.80
Dan Gadzuric	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	27	-21	11.5	13.4	-1.83	10.3	16.1	-5.73
Jodie Meeks	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	25	-17	12.1	13.4	-1.31	11.1	16.3	-5.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 72, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
PHI 81, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
TOR 103, CLE 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%