inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 72 Excitement2.6 [1239] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +7.2%
Miami Heat 97 Comeback1.0 [1285] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -9.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.00-0.071045%0.061-0.0020%-0.02
Greg Monroe0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01875%0.064-0.04425%0.00
Ben Wallace0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.002100%0.00
Austin Daye-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.100.00-0.09714%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.021136%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00462%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02420%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Richard Hamilton-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.011137%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Will Bynum-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.01733%-0.052-0.021100%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.01740%-0.024-0.07683%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.011153%0.0700.00850%-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.00567%0.0400.002100%0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.05583%0.0400.002100%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.02-0.041556%0.094-0.05250%-0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01856%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02970%0.073-0.04540%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03440%0.0200.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.07-0.000.07967%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.0430%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05729%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.00.628.517.424.52.325.8123.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.8%
MIA +7.7%
MIA +9.0%
MIA +4.9%
DET -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game17.416.115.584.7111.5105.7
season16.716.0106.4109.0
opponent15.615.2102.3110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET20.815.519.714.317.4
MIA17.116.514.017.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Wilcox13140.00-0.500.500.000-252511.818.4-6.6317.315.91.40
Austin Daye2425-0.02-0.480.470.13-5-201514.518.5-3.9716.516.00.51
Ben Gordon4546-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-211714.920.2-5.3116.715.41.32
Tracy McGrady1314-0.13-0.370.250.02-5-201515.517.7-2.1815.616.2-0.56
Greg Monroe5557-0.19-0.310.120.10-10-15515.620.7-5.0717.313.93.43
Will Bynum4547-0.19-0.310.110.16-12-13115.419.6-4.2717.115.02.11
Charlie Villanueva3637-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-14316.917.8-0.8717.814.92.86
Jason Maxiell3535-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-13119.715.83.9113.717.7-3.97
Rodney Stuckey4040-0.31-0.19-0.110.07-13-12-119.615.44.2715.017.1-2.11
Ben Wallace3131-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-17-8-920.915.45.5314.117.2-3.09
Tayshaun Prince4848-0.36-0.14-0.210.08-15-10-519.314.94.4216.116.2-0.12
Richard Hamilton4041-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-21-4-1720.214.95.3115.416.7-1.32

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh53530.400.100.29-0.282322114.518.6-4.1618.216.02.23
LeBron James55530.370.130.25-0.12178916.016.3-0.2618.715.23.58
Carlos Arroyo48490.360.140.210.09916-714.917.6-2.6318.116.41.78
Zydrunas Ilgauskas30300.310.190.12-0.131510513.917.3-3.4320.715.65.07
Dwyane Wade32350.260.240.02-0.301961314.217.2-3.0520.315.44.93
James Jones52480.260.240.02-0.392231916.815.11.7216.718.3-1.61
Joel Anthony40390.230.27-0.04-0.27178917.714.72.9817.017.7-0.67
Mario Chalmers45430.160.34-0.19-0.171114-317.314.92.4315.319.5-4.17
Juwan Howard34320.100.40-0.290.04223-2118.614.54.1616.018.2-2.23
Eddie House29270.100.40-0.310.18-328-3117.315.51.7914.118.9-4.75
Erick Dampier1716-0.040.54-0.580.17-732-3916.316.10.2212.118.6-6.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 86, LAL 1130.5,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
MIN 94, MIL 1270.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
CHI 82, DET 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%