NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	2.6 [1236]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +10.0%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.1 [1193]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -7.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	70%	0.10	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.07	9	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	37%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	17	34%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	12	79%	0.14	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	14	62%	0.10	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	17	59%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	14	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	32.3	18.6	28.6	1.8	28.5	136.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.0%

PHI -8.8%

DET +3.9%

DET +5.7%

DET +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	18.0	15.4	93.1	110.1	105.7
season	15.2	16.8		104.0	108.8
opponent	15.8	16.2		101.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.9	13.3	16.3	12.3	14.7
DET	15.0	20.0	16.4	20.5	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	11.6	14.9	-3.33	13.2	18.2	-5.04
Shavlik Randolph	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	8.2	15.0	-6.80	13.2	18.2	-5.04
Reggie Evans	35	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	14.1	15.2	-1.09	19.4	16.9	2.44
Rodney Carney	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-22	27	14.7	14.7	-0.00	17.3	18.1	-0.78
Jason Smith	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-20	23	13.0	15.6	-2.61	19.6	17.2	2.37
Lou Williams	43	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-26	35	13.4	16.0	-2.65	19.4	16.4	2.97
Samuel Dalembert	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.29	-26	9	-35	15.6	13.3	2.26	17.4	18.8	-1.35
Andre Iguodala	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	2	-21	15.0	12.2	2.80	18.2	16.4	1.82
Thaddeus Young	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	4	-25	14.9	14.3	0.59	16.7	20.2	-3.48
Andre Miller	68	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	4	-25	15.2	13.1	2.09	18.6	15.6	2.95
Willie Green	47	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.30	-27	10	-37	16.0	13.2	2.80	16.5	19.6	-3.15

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	69	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.21	24	-7	31	18.5	16.0	2.52	15.0	13.8	1.21
Richard Hamilton	60	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-5	27	16.6	20.7	-4.06	16.4	11.2	5.25
Jason Maxiell	74	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	0	17	18.0	17.6	0.43	14.7	14.7	0.06
Rasheed Wallace	57	56	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	-3	23	17.2	19.4	-2.22	15.8	12.8	3.05
Tayshaun Prince	70	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	2	13	18.2	16.9	1.28	15.1	13.5	1.61
Antonio McDyess	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	20	-23	19.5	16.6	2.88	13.6	15.8	-2.11
Arron Afflalo	36	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	21	-25	19.7	16.7	3.01	12.1	16.5	-4.43
Rodney Stuckey	27	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.21	-6	23	-29	17.2	18.3	-1.05	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Jarvis Hayes	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	13.2	18.2	-5.04	11.6	14.9	-3.33
Amir Johnson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	13.2	18.2	-5.04	11.6	14.9	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 65, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIN 94, MIL 127	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
POR 77, PHX 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%