NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	3.1 [1188]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +9.6%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.1 [1152]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -7.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	20	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Billy Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	69%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	3	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	14	74%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	79%	0.11	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	-0.00	0.09	18	77%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Erik Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	17	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	30.3	18.7	23.2	2.5	30.3	129.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.8%

SAC +1.7%

SAC +11.0%

NJN -2.4%

NJN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.5	98.9	120.2	104.0
season	16.0	14.7		99.2	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.0	14.4	16.9	14.5	15.6
SAC	13.0	15.6	16.6	14.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith	29	30	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-22	24	14.8	16.0	-1.24	13.7	15.6	-1.89
Jacque Vaughn	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-21	22	14.0	16.4	-2.38	15.5	14.8	0.70
Travis Best	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-10	0	15.1	15.9	-0.78	16.8	14.1	2.66
Rodney Buford	52	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-11	2	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.5	15.7	-1.16
Jason Collins	27	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-11	2	15.6	15.7	-0.13	16.6	14.3	2.30
Billy Thomas	65	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-7	-6	15.4	16.3	-0.96	14.8	15.3	-0.44
Nenad Krstic	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-6	-8	16.3	14.7	1.61	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-6	-8	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.0	14.9	0.08
Jason Kidd	57	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-1	-18	17.0	13.6	3.34	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Vince Carter	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-5	-10	16.3	14.5	1.75	15.0	15.0	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	73	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.19	25	-5	30	15.6	12.8	2.87	16.2	13.7	2.51
Brad Miller	82	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-6	32	15.5	11.7	3.81	16.2	11.7	4.47
Peja Stojakovic	74	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.18	23	-3	26	15.4	13.6	1.70	16.4	12.6	3.83
Darius Songaila	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	0	20	14.9	15.1	-0.16	16.4	13.9	2.58
Cuttino Mobley	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.28	24	-4	28	15.2	14.3	0.88	16.9	10.6	6.35
Greg Ostertag	23	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	25	-30	14.3	15.2	-0.85	12.2	16.8	-4.54
Kevin Martin	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	18	-16	16.7	14.2	2.51	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Eddie House	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	12.7	15.4	-2.76	13.5	16.1	-2.60
Matt Barnes	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	11.4	15.6	-4.18	11.7	16.2	-4.47
Erik Daniels	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	11.7	15.5	-3.81	9.4	16.5	-7.12
Michael Bradley	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	11.2	15.4	-4.24	10.2	16.2	-6.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
POR 76, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
IND 87, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%