NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	3.3 [697]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIN): +9.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.0 [752]		LVP	Troy Hudson (LAC): -12.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.03	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	17	42%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	52%	-0.02	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	11	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	15	55%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	-0.07	20	43%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.0	27.6	15.0	28.2	2.3	26.4	123.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.3%

MIN +6.8%

MIN +3.1%

MIN +11.2%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.5	15.8	101.1	114.4	99.6
season	16.7	15.0		97.5	98.6
opponent	15.9	14.7		98.6	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.8	15.9	15.9	14.0	16.2
MIN	14.6	14.0	13.5	20.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-19	28	7.2	16.7	-9.48	23.8	14.9	8.95
Brian Skinner	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-17	24	13.7	17.3	-3.56	18.8	13.8	5.03
Lorenzen Wright	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-13	16	14.6	17.6	-3.01	16.0	15.0	0.96
Lamond Murray	38	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-4	-2	16.5	15.9	0.62	15.8	15.3	0.53
Rodney Rogers	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-12	14	15.0	17.6	-2.64	16.8	13.8	2.98
Eric Piatkowski	46	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	1	-12	16.9	15.4	1.54	13.8	17.0	-3.14
Michael Olowokandi	37	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	5	-20	18.5	14.6	3.98	13.6	16.8	-3.11
Tyrone Nesby	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	5	-20	17.2	14.9	2.23	14.4	16.8	-2.41
Maurice Taylor	73	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	5	-20	17.1	12.7	4.38	14.7	18.2	-3.50
Troy Hudson	87	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	16.1	18.0	-1.94	15.4	16.2	-0.76

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-4	18	15.5	15.2	0.35	16.9	13.1	3.79
Joe Smith	65	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.14	20	-10	30	14.8	17.1	-2.27	17.0	13.8	3.17
Anthony Peeler	58	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	0	10	15.0	16.3	-1.25	16.4	15.6	0.84
Sam Mitchell	47	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	-3	16	14.6	16.4	-1.76	17.1	15.0	2.19
Terrell Brandon	36	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	0	10	13.7	16.7	-2.97	18.5	14.4	4.09
Bobby Jackson	54	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	10	-10	16.7	13.7	2.97	14.4	18.5	-4.09
Malik Sealy	34	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	11	-12	16.4	14.9	1.55	14.8	16.9	-2.07
Dean Garrett	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	10	-10	14.8	15.8	-1.02	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Tom Hammonds	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	13	-16	17.1	15.1	2.00	15.7	16.3	-0.55
James Robinson	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	15	-20	23.0	14.9	8.06	4.8	16.8	-12.02
Andrae Patterson	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	11	-12	15.9	15.3	0.57	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Bill Curley	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	16.7	15.4	1.33	5.5	16.6	-11.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 85, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 83, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%