NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	3.1 [1194]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +9.0%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	1.0 [1247]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -15.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	0.00	15	45%	-0.09	4	-0.07	12	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	12	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	2	150%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.07	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	15	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	13	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	4	94%	0.01	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	30.4	17.3	27.7	2.6	31.3	138.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.6%

CHI +11.2%

CHI +9.4%

CLE -7.2%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	17.4	13.5	15.5	91.4	121.5	104.0
season	16.2	15.1		104.6	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		98.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	17.8	16.6	19.3	17.4
CHI	12.6	14.9	14.7	12.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-31	34	15.2	18.1	-2.85	16.3	12.8	3.53
Luke Jackson	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-25	22	16.9	17.6	-0.69	11.9	13.9	-1.99
Sasha Pavlovic	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-24	20	15.9	17.8	-1.92	11.9	13.9	-1.99
DeSagana Diop	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-31	34	14.0	18.3	-4.27	11.1	14.1	-3.06
Anderson Varejao	25	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-23	18	17.6	17.4	0.16	12.9	13.8	-0.89
Lucious Harris	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-19	10	18.1	16.8	1.35	14.0	13.0	1.02
Eric Snow	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.24	-16	-12	-4	20.5	15.7	4.77	13.0	13.8	-0.80
Ira Newble	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-12	-4	16.7	17.8	-1.09	13.7	13.4	0.32
LeBron James	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.27	-22	-6	-16	17.0	19.0	-1.95	13.8	12.6	1.23
Jeff McInnis	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	-7	-14	17.4	17.6	-0.27	13.9	12.5	1.38
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.39	-28	0	-28	18.5	15.2	3.31	13.7	13.1	0.63
Drew Gooden	55	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	-6	-16	17.4	17.4	-0.01	13.4	13.7	-0.24

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	47	47	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.49	33	-5	38	14.0	13.1	0.91	19.4	15.4	4.06
Antonio Davis	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	14	0	15.2	11.9	3.28	16.5	18.3	-1.76
Kirk Hinrich	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	13	2	13.9	12.6	1.37	16.3	20.2	-3.87
Luol Deng	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	12	4	14.5	12.0	2.45	16.2	19.4	-3.27
Tyson Chandler	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	15	-2	14.0	12.9	1.10	17.8	16.9	0.96
Andres Nocioni	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.35	19	9	10	12.3	14.2	-1.90	20.4	15.7	4.70
Eddy Curry	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	15	-2	12.9	14.1	-1.17	17.0	17.9	-0.93
Ben Gordon	60	61	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	14	0	13.1	14.3	-1.20	17.9	16.5	1.39
Othella Harrington	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.18	11	17	-6	11.0	14.9	-3.85	18.2	17.0	1.18
Adrian Griffin	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	12.3	13.7	-1.42	14.3	17.8	-3.52
Frank Williams	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	12.3	13.7	-1.42	14.3	17.8	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, WAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
HOU 92, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
LAC 93, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%