NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	4.1 [973]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (WAS): +18.9%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	1.0 [984]		LVP	Ronald Murray (IND): -6.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	6	93%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.21	0.01	0.15	23	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	17	62%	0.05	3	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
David Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Diener	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.20	0.02	0.03	16	86%	0.23	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	48%	0.05	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	43%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	14	36%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	32.3	15.3	27.3	2.5	37.5	142.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.1%

IND -0.3%

WAS +25.9%

IND -2.9%

WAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	11.6	17.0	15.4	110.0	115.8	105.7
season	13.8	16.1		104.5	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.2	12.6	12.4	10.4	11.6
WAS	15.9	16.2	18.9	17.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	9.9	12.1	-2.18	15.4	17.4	-2.04
Shawne Williams	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-2	-3	11.5	11.6	-0.14	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Kareem Rush	51	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	11.7	11.6	0.07	16.5	17.6	-1.15
Troy Murphy	33	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	12.2	11.4	0.78	16.8	17.1	-0.26
Travis Diener	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-8	9	11.4	11.8	-0.35	16.8	17.2	-0.36
Jermaine O'Neal	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	0	-7	12.0	11.3	0.77	17.9	16.3	1.60
Ronald Murray	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	1	-9	11.8	11.4	0.35	17.2	16.8	0.36
Marquis Daniels	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	1	-9	11.8	11.4	0.33	17.2	16.8	0.40
Danny Granger	92	94	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-5	3	11.6	11.5	0.14	17.2	14.6	2.61
Mike Dunleavy	92	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	11.5	12.9	-1.35	17.2	14.9	2.32

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	1	5	17.7	15.0	2.69	11.7	11.3	0.47
Dominic McGuire	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	3	1	16.5	17.9	-1.45	11.5	11.8	-0.23
Darius Songaila	68	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	7	-7	16.0	19.1	-3.15	11.0	12.8	-1.76
Andray Blatche	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	3	1	17.7	16.2	1.55	12.5	10.7	1.79
Antonio Daniels	74	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	11	-15	16.9	17.3	-0.35	11.2	12.7	-1.42
Nick Young	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-2	11	16.1	17.5	-1.42	12.1	11.3	0.73
Brendan Haywood	34	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-3	13	17.7	16.7	1.02	11.5	11.7	-0.27
Antawn Jamison	66	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.39	-6	13	-19	17.7	15.7	1.92	11.5	11.9	-0.40
Oleksiy Pecherov	13	14	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	-1	9	17.1	17.0	0.09	12.9	11.4	1.51
DeShawn Stevenson	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	3	1	16.2	17.2	-0.95	11.6	11.6	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
WAS 94, MIA 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
HOU 73, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%