NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	5.8 [627]		MVP	Jock Landale (HOU): +18.5%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	3.1 [842]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -15.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalano Banton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.01	21	61%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Rayan Rupert	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Minaya	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scoot Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	14	50%	0.09	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Ashton Hagans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.07	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Moses Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	18%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.00	0.02	6	113%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.03	4	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	61%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nate Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.02	26	47%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	13	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.04	0.05	18	38%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	27.7	12.7	28.3	2.0	27.1	127.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -1.1%

HOU +13.2%

POR -1.5%

HOU +34.9%

HOU +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	14.5	92.0	111.1	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		106.9	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		112.2	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	15.0	14.6	12.8	14.7
HOU	12.5	15.6	13.0	16.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rayan Rupert	49	49	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-25	32	14.2	15.1	-0.89	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Kris Murray	68	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.19	-9	-9	0	13.7	16.7	-2.95	14.1	14.6	-0.44
Justin Minaya	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-16	14	15.1	14.6	0.47	16.8	14.0	2.82
Scoot Henderson	54	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-7	-4	14.1	15.4	-1.32	13.6	15.0	-1.34
Toumani Camara	74	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-11	4	14.4	15.5	-1.16	14.4	14.0	0.40
Moses Brown	18	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-9	0	15.4	14.5	0.93	12.8	14.5	-1.73
Duop Reath	48	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-3	-12	15.4	14.1	1.30	13.6	14.9	-1.31
Ashton Hagans	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-11	4	15.2	14.2	0.97	15.0	13.6	1.34
Jabari Walker	53	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	-6	-6	15.6	13.7	1.89	14.7	13.8	0.88
Dalano Banton	79	78	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.02	-25	7	-32	14.9	13.7	1.22	14.6	13.0	1.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	48	49	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.19	21	-3	24	14.3	14.2	0.06	15.1	14.3	0.75
Jalen Green	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-7	32	14.0	15.7	-1.70	14.9	13.7	1.24
Jock Landale	67	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.32	29	-11	40	13.0	17.0	-4.04	15.4	13.3	2.14
Jae'Sean Tate	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	17	-16	15.6	13.3	2.30	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Dillon Brooks	62	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	8	2	13.7	15.1	-1.39	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Jeff Green	48	49	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	11	-4	15.4	13.2	2.16	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Reggie Bullock Jr.	29	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	15	-12	14.5	14.2	0.31	15.7	14.2	1.54
Amen Thompson	59	58	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	18	-18	14.2	14.4	-0.19	14.8	14.5	0.27
Nate Williams	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	22.0	14.1	7.90	5.7	15.0	-9.29
Fred VanVleet	56	56	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	22	-26	14.5	13.9	0.63	14.0	15.5	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.8%
MIL 94, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
PHI 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%