inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement5.9 [647] MVPNene (DEN): +16.2%
Denver Nuggets 105 Comeback2.8 [792] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -7.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Maggette0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.02-0.041057%0.131-0.021070%0.04
Larry Sanders0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.001056%0.0600.00580%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.01250%-0.01
John Salmons-0.010,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.020.031562%0.093-0.094100%0.02
Keyon Dooling-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00667%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00935%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Jon Brockman-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00225%-0.0500.00450%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.02-0.00450%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02921%-0.0600.0010%-0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.011347%0.023-0.08475%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.050.02986%0.224-0.051080%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.07-0.031657%0.172-0.03367%0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00863%0.072-0.053100%0.02
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00171%0.061-0.03560%-0.02
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.02-0.031541%0.031-0.03475%0.00
Shelden Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Forbes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.020.021057%0.074-0.09887%0.05
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.001344%-0.022-0.05683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.831.415.830.51.833.4139.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.0%
DEN +6.3%
DEN +9.6%
DEN +1.6%
DEN +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDENNBAMILDENNBA
this game15.314.215.595.9108.2105.7
season16.214.3100.1110.7
opponent15.515.4106.1100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.515.017.813.415.3
DEN14.513.216.513.214.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Brockman26270.08-0.580.66-0.075-162113.416.0-2.6013.714.4-0.69
Keyon Dooling2928-0.07-0.430.36-0.215-162114.415.7-1.2515.613.71.98
Corey Maggette4746-0.10-0.400.29-0.05-2-9714.516.0-1.5514.414.10.38
Drew Gooden1921-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-8515.215.3-0.1714.214.20.00
Luc Mbah a Moute2929-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-8-3-517.814.33.5015.713.62.12
Chris Douglas-Roberts4445-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-5-114.515.9-1.4413.115.2-2.06
John Salmons7674-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-5-115.315.20.0914.214.3-0.15
Larry Sanders6765-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.09-110-1115.914.11.7514.613.51.10
Brandon Jennings6969-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-165-2115.714.41.2513.715.6-1.98
Ersan Ilyasova8481-0.530.03-0.56-0.15-132-1515.514.21.2614.114.9-0.76

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups67690.460.040.42-0.0417-62313.815.3-1.5416.013.72.28
J.R. Smith68710.430.070.360.14101913.216.7-3.5014.617.1-2.51
Arron Afflalo75760.370.130.240.1774314.912.02.8915.514.51.03
Nene56580.320.180.150.03101913.914.7-0.8116.114.11.94
Carmelo Anthony54550.310.190.120.02101914.513.90.6316.014.41.65
Al Harrington57570.230.27-0.050.1147-313.615.2-1.6414.316.7-2.43
Chris Andersen39390.180.32-0.150.0938-514.414.20.2014.515.8-1.30
Ty Lawson40390.150.35-0.200.24-314-1714.214.3-0.1114.116.1-2.02
Shelden Williams27250.050.45-0.400.08-112-1317.213.14.0917.314.62.72
Gary Forbes210.000.50-0.500.06-213-1521.514.17.420.015.5-15.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 76, PHI 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.1%
GSW 90, ORL 1100.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%
POR 90, DET 990.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.7%