NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	5.6 [722]		MVP	Jorge Garbajosa (TOR): +20.2%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	3.5 [627]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -14.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	19	70%	0.23	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	63%	0.09	7	-0.18	3	67%	-0.02
Channing Frye	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.00	6	-0.15	11	45%	-0.08

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.01	10	83%	0.25	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	13	63%	0.18	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	9	83%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	14	64%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	12	56%	0.11	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.02
Uros Slokar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	31.5	16.0	29.2	2.5	35.6	139.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.1%

TOR +15.7%

NYK -7.5%

TOR +4.4%

NYK -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.4	97.9	108.3	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		103.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	19.2	17.2	12.3	15.8
TOR	14.1	14.4	12.8	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	29	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-11	12	16.3	15.6	0.73	12.8	14.9	-2.06
Quentin Richardson	21	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-10	10	15.4	15.9	-0.54	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Mardy Collins	2	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-11	12	21.5	15.7	5.82	6.0	14.5	-8.46
Malik Rose	49	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-12	14	14.3	17.4	-3.14	15.9	12.5	3.31
Channing Frye	26	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.27	6	-16	22	15.0	16.1	-1.10	12.7	14.8	-2.04
Nate Robinson	23	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-8	6	15.9	15.8	0.15	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	90	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	15.7	17.0	-1.28	14.3	12.6	1.75
Steve Francis	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	9	-28	16.3	13.7	2.56	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Jared Jeffries	81	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	4	-18	15.7	16.3	-0.55	14.6	12.3	2.31
Eddy Curry	81	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.11	-17	7	-24	16.5	12.3	4.19	14.3	13.6	0.69

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	77	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.01	24	-14	38	14.4	13.5	0.90	16.4	13.9	2.51
Jorge Garbajosa	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-8	26	13.6	15.6	-1.94	16.4	14.4	1.99
Andrea Bargnani	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-8	26	14.2	14.3	-0.10	16.1	15.1	0.98
Chris Bosh	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-8	26	14.4	13.4	0.93	16.0	14.9	1.05
Anthony Parker	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-4	18	14.9	12.6	2.28	16.4	14.5	1.85
Joey Graham	12	14	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	7	-4	9.9	14.8	-4.89	16.1	15.7	0.40
Rasho Nesterovic	46	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	10	-10	14.8	13.6	1.16	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Uros Slokar	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	7.0	14.3	-7.27	8.0	15.9	-7.88
Juan Dixon	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	15	-20	12.9	14.8	-1.86	14.1	16.6	-2.52
Morris Peterson	9	10	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	21	-32	15.8	14.0	1.74	12.8	16.2	-3.35
Kris Humphries	12	12	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	24	-38	14.8	14.1	0.73	12.9	16.2	-3.30
Jose Calderon	11	12	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.09	-13	23	-36	15.5	14.0	1.52	13.4	16.1	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, NYK 97	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
BOS 111, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,1	93.1%
DEN 92, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.7%