NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	5.2 [788]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +17.7%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	2.4 [899]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -17.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Steven Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.06	9	65%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	52%	0.08	5	-0.15	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	11	66%	0.18	0	0.00	10	100%	0.08
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	14	71%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.05	0.06	14	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	12	23%	-0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	30.4	15.4	28.2	1.8	32.2	134.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +8.0%

PHI -8.6%

UTA +15.8%

UTA +34.7%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.4	92.6	104.3	104.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	15.9	16.2	14.2	15.4
UTA	16.8	16.1	13.8	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	20	20	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-15	19	16.0	15.2	0.80	17.3	14.7	2.65
Bobby Jones	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	12.0	15.4	-3.45	4.5	15.5	-11.00
Lou Williams	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	12.0	15.4	-3.45	4.5	15.5	-11.00
Rodney Carney	39	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-8	5	15.9	15.0	0.85	14.3	16.0	-1.64
Kevin Ollie	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-7	3	15.5	15.4	0.11	17.7	14.8	2.86
Samuel Dalembert	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-3	-5	15.9	14.9	1.00	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Steven Hunter	32	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-10	9	15.5	15.3	0.19	16.3	14.7	1.58
Andre Miller	79	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	15.2	16.3	-1.06	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Willie Green	39	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	14.7	15.9	-1.21	15.4	15.1	0.32
Kyle Korver	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-6	1	15.1	15.8	-0.71	15.6	14.7	0.97
Andre Iguodala	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	1	-13	15.6	14.7	0.89	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Joe Smith	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	3	-17	15.3	15.7	-0.41	15.0	15.9	-0.91

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	78	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-3	17	14.9	17.2	-2.32	15.1	16.8	-1.77
Matt Harpring	33	33	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-4	19	16.1	14.8	1.22	17.3	14.3	3.02
Carlos Boozer	80	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	1	9	15.0	16.9	-1.95	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Mehmet Okur	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	2	7	15.1	15.5	-0.35	15.2	15.6	-0.38
Gordan Giricek	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	5	1	15.7	14.9	0.80	14.7	16.0	-1.33
Derek Fisher	63	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	3	5	14.8	16.3	-1.48	15.8	14.5	1.23
Paul Millsap	18	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	10	-9	16.8	14.9	1.94	16.8	15.0	1.79
Ronnie Brewer	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	11	-11	14.9	15.3	-0.40	13.4	15.7	-2.24
Andrei Kirilenko	61	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	15	-19	14.8	16.1	-1.22	14.3	17.3	-3.02
Jarron Collins	10	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	12	-13	17.7	15.0	2.72	19.6	14.9	4.63
Dee Brown	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	14	-17	17.4	15.0	2.47	16.9	15.1	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 86, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.9%
MEM 86, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%