NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	5.4 [725]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +4.6%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	2.0 [778]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -26.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	65%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	8	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	16	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.19	-0.10	-0.02	9	18%	-0.19	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	10	72%	0.13	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	20	48%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	0.8	36.2	15.8	28.5	2.0	32.2	140.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.3%

IND +13.5%

MEM -1.3%

IND +6.6%

MEM -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	IND	NBA	MEM	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.7	93.5	102.2	100.5
season	15.3	16.7		102.3	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		94.7	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.0	14.4	18.6	16.5	15.5
IND	16.4	15.6	16.6	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	43	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-14	20	14.3	16.5	-2.17	16.4	15.4	1.03
Shane Battier	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-6	4	15.5	15.4	0.17	14.6	17.0	-2.37
Lorenzen Wright	38	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	2	-12	16.5	14.7	1.78	16.3	15.5	0.71
Mike Miller	60	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-5	2	15.1	16.0	-0.88	16.7	14.2	2.49
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	15.8	14.1	1.70	15.7	16.4	-0.75
Jason Williams	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	15.8	14.1	1.70	15.7	16.4	-0.75
Bo Outlaw	32	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	1	-10	14.9	15.7	-0.84	15.0	16.3	-1.33
Bonzi Wells	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	14.8	16.0	-1.20	15.5	16.1	-0.62
James Posey	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	1	-10	15.7	15.1	0.66	16.4	15.0	1.35

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	51	53	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-10	28	14.7	17.2	-2.52	15.9	14.8	1.15
Metta World Peace	68	68	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-7	22	15.5	16.8	-1.28	16.0	13.8	2.20
Austin Croshere	40	42	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-7	22	13.8	17.4	-3.58	15.9	15.1	0.82
Al Harrington	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	0	8	16.4	15.2	1.16	15.1	15.9	-0.74
Jeff Foster	51	49	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	6	-4	16.8	14.6	2.19	15.6	15.3	0.38
Fred Jones	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	15.9	15.8	0.02	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Jermaine O'Neal	74	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	9	-10	15.8	15.9	-0.12	16.0	13.6	2.37
Reggie Miller	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	10	-12	16.3	15.5	0.81	15.4	15.5	-0.03
James Jones	2	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	21.0	15.7	5.27	3.3	15.9	-12.53
Anthony Johnson	41	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.04	-10	18	-28	17.2	14.7	2.52	14.8	15.9	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 86, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.8%