NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	115		Excitement	6.9 [452]		MVP	Eric Gordon (PHX): +37.7%
Phoenix Suns	128		Comeback	3.0 [858]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (PHX): -8.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.05	-0.03	13	59%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Garrison Mathews	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	56%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
De'Andre Hunter	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	13	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	52%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Vit Krejci	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	26	51%	0.06	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Trent Forrest	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.21	0.17	0.00	11	91%	0.38	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	7	100%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	8	72%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.24	0.01	0.14	15	88%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	75%	0.16	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	15	51%	0.10	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	39%	-0.05	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	29.7	14.8	32.4	2.5	35.4	139.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +60.6%

PHX +12.9%

ATL -9.0%

ATL -16.4%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	14.5	121.1	134.7	113.9
season	14.2	14.6		115.7	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.5	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.2	13.1	16.6	16.9	14.8
PHX	16.2	15.2	13.4	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	49	48	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.21	12	-25	37	14.0	15.7	-1.74	17.0	13.9	3.13
Vit Krejci	74	74	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.22	8	-21	29	14.5	15.8	-1.27	15.9	13.9	2.04
De'Andre Hunter	63	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-16	19	14.1	16.3	-2.25	16.6	12.9	3.74
Trent Forrest	20	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-4	-5	15.3	14.7	0.61	12.6	16.3	-3.67
Bruno Fernando	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-7	1	12.5	15.0	-2.53	14.0	15.7	-1.65
Dejounte Murray	77	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-8	3	14.6	15.6	-0.91	16.3	12.1	4.17
Wesley Matthews	32	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	3	-19	16.3	14.1	2.25	12.9	16.6	-3.74
Onyeka Okongwu	38	38	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	6	-25	16.4	13.8	2.62	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Bogdan Bogdanovic	70	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	4	-21	14.9	14.6	0.30	15.7	14.9	0.82
Garrison Mathews	44	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	3	-19	15.2	14.5	0.80	14.3	16.5	-2.17

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	74	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-4	21	15.9	13.9	2.04	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Bol Bol	22	21	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.02	21	-8	29	15.5	15.5	-0.05	15.1	14.7	0.41
Eric Gordon	49	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-4	21	14.0	17.1	-3.17	15.3	14.3	0.95
Royce O'Neale	32	31	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	0	13	13.6	16.5	-2.91	14.9	14.8	0.17
Drew Eubanks	34	33	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	-5	23	12.7	17.0	-4.34	16.4	14.0	2.46
Jusuf Nurkic	61	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	18	-23	17.0	12.7	4.34	14.0	16.4	-2.46
Kevin Durant	72	74	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	13	-13	15.8	14.4	1.40	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Grayson Allen	69	70	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	19	-25	16.0	14.3	1.69	14.9	14.6	0.25
Devin Booker	62	63	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	23	-33	16.3	14.0	2.24	14.7	15.1	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.55,0.45,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.82,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.3%
MIA 89, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.0%
TOR 93, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.9%