NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	6.0 [588]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +11.3%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	1.9 [847]		LVP	Charles Oakley (TOR): -16.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	70%	0.10	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	13	46%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	19	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	7	45%	-0.04	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.06	0.04	29	55%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	14	58%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	6	65%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	29.0	19.4	27.3	2.8	34.0	137.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.0%

TOR -1.1%

TOR -8.2%

DAL +29.4%

DAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	15.5	100.0	116.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.2		103.7	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	16.7	15.6	15.2	15.6
DAL	14.5	14.7	15.1	18.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-8	2	14.8	18.2	-3.40	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Antonio Davis	67	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-14	14	15.2	16.5	-1.25	16.0	14.5	1.55
Charles Oakley	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-8	2	15.9	14.3	1.60	14.9	18.0	-3.05
Mark Jackson	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-7	0	15.1	17.2	-2.01	15.2	17.1	-1.82
Dell Curry	60	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-8	2	16.6	13.7	2.89	15.6	15.6	-0.04
Alvin Williams	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	15.9	15.3	0.58	15.4	15.7	-0.24
Morris Peterson	34	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	15.9	15.4	0.51	17.4	14.5	2.87
Kevin Willis	46	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	8	-30	15.5	15.6	-0.07	16.0	15.2	0.74

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-2	18	15.8	14.4	1.35	16.1	12.9	3.21
Michael Finley	86	86	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.14	13	1	12	15.7	13.3	2.40	16.0	9.9	6.17
Shawn Bradley	42	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-5	24	15.2	15.9	-0.71	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Howard Eisley	36	37	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	-3	20	16.6	14.9	1.61	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Hubert Davis	73	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	13	-12	15.8	14.8	0.99	16.3	12.7	3.61
Loy Vaught	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	10	-6	15.9	15.4	0.47	15.6	15.5	0.06
Steve Nash	80	80	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	5	4	15.0	19.6	-4.61	14.9	19.8	-4.89
Eduardo Najera	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	11	-8	12.5	15.9	-3.37	11.3	16.0	-4.68
Christian Laettner	21	21	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	26	-38	15.5	15.6	-0.07	15.0	15.7	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.96,1	93.9%
LAC 98, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	93.7%
NYK 95, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	93.6%