NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	6.2 [574]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +11.1%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	2.0 [674]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -18.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.11	0.18	-0.04	0.03	22	70%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	17	50%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	15	35%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	40%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.02	19	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	59%	0.13	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	16	53%	0.10	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.03
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	27.4	18.4	27.0	2.7	38.0	140.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +51.3%

NYK -6.1%

NYK -9.9%

SAC +12.9%

SAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.2	102.2	113.2	101.7
season	16.1	13.8		100.0	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.8		100.7	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	15.0	16.1	14.6	15.6
SAC	14.5	17.0	13.9	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	15.9	15.6	0.28	16.9	15.5	1.40
Charlie Ward	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	16.1	15.1	0.97	13.9	17.6	-3.71
Kurt Thomas	46	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.3	-1.38	16.7	14.7	2.05
Latrell Sprewell	81	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-9	10	15.0	19.8	-4.82	15.4	18.1	-2.73
Marcus Camby	44	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-6	4	15.3	15.9	-0.64	16.8	14.7	2.07
Larry Johnson	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-5	2	16.5	15.0	1.48	14.8	16.4	-1.64
Chris Childs	46	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	14.8	16.4	-1.64	17.2	14.2	3.06
Allan Houston	80	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	-1	-6	16.2	12.2	3.96	16.0	13.7	2.31
Patrick Ewing	64	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.14	-13	5	-18	16.1	14.6	1.57	14.7	17.7	-3.01

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	84	87	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-5	18	15.2	21.7	-6.55	15.7	14.0	1.75
Peja Stojakovic	49	51	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-6	20	16.1	15.1	1.02	15.4	15.9	-0.54
Scot Pollard	28	29	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-4	16	16.1	15.5	0.63	15.9	15.5	0.38
Tony Delk	21	22	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	0	8	18.9	14.7	4.20	16.2	15.5	0.78
Tyrone Corbin	39	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	17.4	14.4	3.04	14.3	16.7	-2.31
Corliss Williamson	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	2	4	14.4	17.4	-3.04	16.7	14.3	2.31
Jason Williams	71	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	6	-4	14.5	19.8	-5.29	15.2	17.0	-1.76
Vlade Divac	62	63	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	14	-20	15.7	15.6	0.12	15.8	15.4	0.40
Nick Anderson	42	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	14	-20	15.1	16.1	-1.02	15.9	15.4	0.54
Lawrence Funderburke	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	13	-18	21.7	15.2	6.55	14.0	15.7	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	93.9%
TOR 93, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.6%
SAS 108, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,1	93.5%