NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	5.6 [540]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +18.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.9 [726]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -8.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	17	74%	0.34	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	5	90%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	61%	0.07	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	46%	0.00	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	16	53%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	70%	0.18	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	0.05	11	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	3.7	32.5	19.5	29.3	4.7	46.0	161.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -17.5%

MEM +16.0%

MEM +18.6%

MEM +24.5%

MEM +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.6	107.7	115.4	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		106.0	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	18.0	15.5	13.3	15.2
MEM	18.4	15.5	16.5	15.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	46	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-9	11	14.4	16.1	-1.68	18.2	14.5	3.69
Randy Foye	52	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-13	19	13.5	17.5	-4.02	17.5	14.8	2.69
Eric Bledsoe	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	18.5	14.6	3.94	12.8	17.1	-4.28
Bobby Simmons	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-11	15	13.2	17.3	-4.13	16.9	15.9	0.98
Kenyon Martin	26	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-2	-3	17.3	14.4	2.84	15.2	16.8	-1.63
Blake Griffin	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	14.8	18.5	-3.66	17.0	11.3	5.63
Chris Paul	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-4	1	14.6	18.5	-3.94	17.1	12.8	4.28
Reggie Evans	29	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	6	-19	18.0	14.0	4.00	14.0	17.5	-3.53
Mo Williams	39	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	6	-19	17.5	13.5	4.02	14.8	17.5	-2.69
Nick Young	46	46	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	5	-17	16.0	14.5	1.45	15.2	17.6	-2.40

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	46	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-2	11	15.5	17.4	-1.88	15.3	15.1	0.20
Marreese Speights	39	41	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	-6	19	14.9	17.5	-2.64	17.6	13.3	4.31
Mike Conley	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	17.0	14.1	2.86	14.7	17.1	-2.38
Quincy Pondexter	31	31	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-5	17	14.2	17.6	-3.41	17.9	13.8	4.09
Zach Randolph	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	6	-5	17.8	14.4	3.46	14.4	16.4	-1.93
Rudy Gay	75	75	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	8	-9	16.6	15.5	1.10	14.6	18.4	-3.80
Marc Gasol	74	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	9	-11	17.3	12.5	4.77	14.4	18.3	-3.82
Dante Cunningham	9	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	3	1	11.0	17.0	-6.00	18.2	14.8	3.37
Tony Allen	54	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	11	-15	16.8	15.8	1.00	14.6	16.1	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 106, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
NOH 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.9%
NYK 95, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	93.9%