NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	85		Excitement	6.1 [568]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): +9.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	93		Comeback	2.3 [682]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -25.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Moiso	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	17	49%	-0.07	2	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Jamaal Magloire	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	9	23%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.28,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.06	-0.14	0.05	19	53%	-0.03	6	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	15	66%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	78%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	0.00	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	20	44%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.6	26.0	16.4	22.9	2.0	28.3	123.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +48.5%

MIL +1.7%

NOH -24.5%

MIL +22.3%

MIL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIL	NBA	NOH	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.5	90.4	101.1	101.6
season	15.9	15.4		101.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		106.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.8	17.9	15.4	16.0	16.3
MIL	14.1	13.4	16.6	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	45	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-10	12	16.7	15.9	0.83	15.3	14.2	1.14
Stacey Augmon	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	16.6	16.2	0.43	17.0	14.4	2.62
P.J. Brown	73	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-7	6	15.9	17.6	-1.69	15.4	12.3	3.12
Jamaal Magloire	59	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-5	2	16.1	16.6	-0.50	15.2	13.8	1.40
Robert Traylor	25	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	17.1	16.0	1.12	13.6	15.1	-1.45
Courtney Alexander	34	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	1	-10	16.4	16.1	0.29	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Baron Davis	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	16.5	15.7	0.77	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Jamal Mashburn	78	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-6	4	15.9	17.9	-1.95	14.8	14.1	0.77
Jerome Moiso	31	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	16.8	16.0	0.87	13.0	15.7	-2.69
Kenny Anderson	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	3	-14	15.9	16.7	-0.83	14.2	15.3	-1.14

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	45	45	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.02	22	-14	36	13.7	15.6	-1.88	17.8	14.8	3.05
Desmond Mason	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	1	6	14.9	13.8	1.07	17.1	12.6	4.40
Michael Redd	48	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-7	22	14.3	15.2	-0.89	16.9	15.5	1.37
Toni Kukoc	48	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-3	14	14.0	15.5	-1.50	16.7	15.9	0.81
Sam Cassell	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	8	-8	14.9	14.2	0.70	15.2	19.4	-4.15
Gary Payton	78	80	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	7	-6	14.7	14.9	-0.27	16.0	17.9	-1.88
Tim Thomas	53	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	15	-22	15.2	14.0	1.21	15.0	18.1	-3.15
Ervin Johnson	42	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.21	-9	17	-26	15.9	13.7	2.14	15.8	16.6	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
GSW 101, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%
LAC 98, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	93.9%