NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	6.4 [506]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): +11.8%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	2.4 [763]		LVP	Bob Sura (GSW): -18.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	21	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.05	0.04	21	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	10	58%	0.00	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Gilbert Arenas	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	12	47%	-0.00	5	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02
Bob Sura	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.03	3	50%	-0.08	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	17	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	20	60%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	17	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Scott Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.01	0.08	14	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	5	0%	-0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.6	28.2	17.6	29.2	2.7	33.0	139.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +16.7%

PHX +3.5%

GSW -6.2%

PHX +34.1%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	15.5	102.0	119.4	101.6
season	14.6	15.0		105.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	15.6	13.4	13.8	14.1
PHX	13.8	16.5	12.8	18.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	53	53	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.05	9	-25	34	13.1	15.2	-2.10	14.0	16.5	-2.43
Jiri Welsch	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	9.5	14.2	-4.69	17.5	15.1	2.40
Earl Boykins	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-9	2	16.7	13.5	3.22	17.9	14.5	3.47
Jason Richardson	86	84	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-7	-2	14.2	13.6	0.55	15.2	15.0	0.18
Antawn Jamison	83	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.0	14.4	-0.41	14.9	16.5	-1.55
Troy Murphy	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	-4	-8	13.8	15.0	-1.23	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Bob Sura	27	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-1	-14	13.4	14.4	-0.99	16.4	14.7	1.78
Mike Dunleavy	25	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-11	6	15.3	13.7	1.59	16.6	14.7	1.95
Gilbert Arenas	87	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	2	-20	13.8	16.3	-2.55	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Adonal Foyle	37	35	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	-1	-14	15.5	13.3	2.19	15.3	15.1	0.16

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	62	63	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.06	23	-7	30	16.1	13.5	2.61	15.0	12.5	2.50
Anfernee Hardaway	81	82	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	4	8	15.4	14.1	1.32	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Casey Jacobsen	23	23	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	4	8	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.0	14.1	-0.12
Stephon Marbury	87	89	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	3	10	14.9	17.1	-2.18	14.3	12.0	2.33
Shawn Marion	87	89	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	6	4	15.0	16.4	-1.36	14.2	13.4	0.77
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	2	12	14.6	16.2	-1.61	13.7	14.9	-1.16
Scott Williams	5	5	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	12	-8	13.4	15.2	-1.85	19.6	13.8	5.80
Jake Voskuhl	44	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	17	-18	16.5	14.0	2.49	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Dan Langhi	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	19.5	15.0	4.53	8.7	14.3	-5.59
Jake Tsakalidis	33	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	23	-30	13.4	16.1	-2.70	12.4	15.0	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.2%
ORL 95, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%