NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	6.0 [603]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +23.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Comeback	1.7 [917]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -16.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	15	72%	0.23	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.06
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	14	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.01	7	87%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	68%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jason Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.07	-0.01	21	66%	0.30	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.05
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	9	90%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	16	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	11	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.0	16.5	26.5	2.6	27.3	127.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +30.9%

PHI -4.7%

OKC +26.7%

PHI -3.1%

OKC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	OKC	NBA	PHI	OKC	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.3	114.0	128.6	106.0
season	15.1	15.0		104.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	14.6	14.0	14.8	14.6
OKC	17.1	18.1	14.2	18.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-10	9	12.9	14.8	-1.91	18.2	16.5	1.64
Rodney Carney	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	-7	3	14.7	14.6	0.17	16.4	16.8	-0.32
Elton Brand	56	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-12	13	14.6	14.6	-0.05	16.5	17.1	-0.58
Thaddeus Young	65	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	14.6	14.5	0.13	16.3	17.6	-1.26
Jason Smith	21	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-6	1	15.0	14.5	0.47	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Jrue Holiday	70	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	14.6	14.6	-0.02	17.1	15.5	1.69
Samuel Dalembert	36	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	1	-13	14.6	14.6	-0.06	17.1	16.5	0.58
Willie Green	78	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	15.0	12.5	2.45	16.9	16.1	0.82
Andre Iguodala	76	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	14.5	14.9	-0.43	17.0	15.8	1.19
Jason Kapono	44	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-5	-1	14.2	14.9	-0.65	15.9	17.4	-1.54

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	67	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-4	19	16.3	17.9	-1.55	14.6	14.6	-0.07
Nick Collison	39	41	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	0	11	16.2	17.2	-0.97	14.6	14.6	-0.05
James Harden	52	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-1	13	17.3	16.0	1.24	13.9	15.6	-1.76
Jeff Green	77	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-1	13	17.0	15.4	1.55	14.8	13.6	1.12
Kevin Durant	83	86	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	7	-3	16.9	15.0	1.90	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Thabo Sefolosha	52	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	16.3	17.3	-1.04	15.5	13.5	1.97
Nenad Krstic	49	48	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	9	-7	15.7	17.9	-2.21	14.9	14.2	0.67
Mike Wilks	24	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	15	-19	17.9	16.3	1.55	14.6	14.6	0.07
Serge Ibaka	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	14	-17	19.7	16.3	3.38	12.0	15.0	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.6%
POR 77, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.86,1,1,1,1	94.6%
TOR 108, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	94.5%