NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	6.5 [486]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +17.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.1 [1049]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -16.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	18	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.04
Predrag Drobnjak	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.06	5	-0.15	5	80%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	2	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	27	44%	-0.06	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.08	-0.03	11	64%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.04	-0.09	34	49%	0.11	3	-0.05	16	87%	0.04
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	16	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	12	75%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	30.3	18.8	29.3	2.6	32.0	139.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.3%

LAL +0.6%

LAL +0.1%

LAL +21.3%

SEA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.5	105.2	109.3	101.6
season	16.5	15.4		101.7	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		102.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.9	17.9	15.7	14.3	15.5
LAL	14.3	11.3	14.3	17.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	38	39	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.09	8	-13	21	15.4	15.6	-0.20	14.5	14.3	0.25
Elden Campbell	21	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-14	23	13.4	16.1	-2.64	14.5	14.3	0.18
Rashard Lewis	80	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-12	19	15.0	18.1	-3.09	15.1	11.2	3.92
Ray Allen	83	84	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-12	19	14.9	19.0	-4.06	14.8	11.8	2.99
Brent Barry	80	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-9	13	15.9	13.6	2.31	14.8	12.2	2.53
Predrag Drobnjak	70	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-3	1	15.9	14.5	1.41	13.5	16.4	-2.93
Jerome James	22	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.6	-0.46	16.5	13.6	2.85
Vitaly Potapenko	15	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	7	-19	19.6	14.7	4.87	10.3	15.1	-4.76
Kevin Ollie	29	29	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.03	-21	16	-37	16.0	15.3	0.73	12.0	15.4	-3.32
Vladimir Radmanovic	42	45	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.10	-20	15	-35	15.7	15.3	0.36	14.4	14.3	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	54	53	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.24	16	-11	27	14.1	14.7	-0.56	15.0	16.1	-1.05
Devean George	53	52	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-9	23	14.1	14.7	-0.55	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Kareem Rush	27	27	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-8	21	14.8	14.2	0.58	18.9	14.1	4.78
Kobe Bryant	87	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-1	7	13.6	21.3	-7.74	15.4	16.8	-1.42
Slava Medvedenko	19	18	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-6	17	12.6	14.8	-2.22	20.0	14.4	5.55
Shaquille O'Neal	78	78	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	11	-17	14.8	12.6	2.22	14.4	20.0	-5.55
Derek Fisher	80	78	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	14	-23	15.1	10.9	4.15	14.4	20.0	-5.55
Rick Fox	44	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	14	-23	14.7	14.1	0.55	15.7	15.3	0.40
Mark Madsen	43	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	16	-27	14.7	14.1	0.56	16.1	15.0	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, MIA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
ATL 81, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
NOH 83, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%