NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	5.9 [648]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +38.3%
Miami Heat	121		Comeback	1.8 [1255]		LVP	James Jones (MIA): -12.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.31	-0.03	0.13	19	83%	0.22	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
John Wall	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	15	57%	0.14	4	-0.08	12	75%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	16	51%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.22	0.15	-0.01	27	65%	0.43	2	-0.04	9	33%	-0.07
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	70%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	11	61%	0.11	1	-0.01	19	79%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	2	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	-0.04	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	33.5	16.6	27.3	2.5	37.3	144.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.6%

MIA +11.5%

WAS -14.9%

MIA +15.3%

MIA +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	14.1	15.8	15.5	117.7	124.7	105.7
season	15.1	16.0		100.9	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.5	13.3	15.9	13.8	14.1
MIA	16.0	16.0	17.6	13.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	40	40	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-14	20	15.2	13.3	1.91	16.4	15.4	1.02
John Wall	78	78	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-18	28	13.6	15.9	-2.32	15.9	15.1	0.90
Yi Jianlian	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-15	22	12.4	15.1	-2.72	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Kevin Seraphin	20	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-4	0	13.6	14.2	-0.58	18.6	15.1	3.55
Jordan Crawford	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-7	6	13.0	14.2	-1.23	19.5	15.1	4.36
Nick Young	76	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-10	12	14.2	13.6	0.58	15.1	18.1	-3.02
Josh Howard	70	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-6	4	14.3	13.3	0.98	15.9	15.5	0.40
Maurice Evans	29	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	7	-22	14.4	13.9	0.45	16.8	15.3	1.47
Trevor Booker	24	24	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	9	-26	14.8	13.8	0.97	14.9	16.1	-1.14
JaVale McGee	72	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	0	-8	14.2	13.7	0.47	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Mike Bibby	22	23	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.04	-18	10	-28	14.5	13.9	0.63	13.5	16.5	-3.01

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	84	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.25	10	-2	12	15.1	20.1	-4.97	14.6	11.1	3.55
Eddie House	45	47	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-8	24	16.0	15.6	0.38	13.4	14.7	-1.21
Dwyane Wade	82	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	15.0	19.7	-4.68	14.6	11.3	3.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-8	24	16.0	15.5	0.51	13.7	14.4	-0.67
LeBron James	86	86	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	11	-14	15.7	16.0	-0.26	13.9	15.5	-1.60
James Jones	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-1	10	16.0	15.7	0.30	13.9	14.1	-0.25
Juwan Howard	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	21.6	15.5	6.14	9.6	14.3	-4.71
Erick Dampier	44	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	16	-24	16.3	15.3	1.00	14.8	13.5	1.32
Mario Chalmers	66	64	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.26	-10	18	-28	16.3	14.5	1.80	13.5	15.1	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.98,1,1	94.4%
NOH 83, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 85, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%