NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	5.3 [778]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +23.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	1.7 [904]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -13.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	73%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	20	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	12	42%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	11	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	-0.03	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.01	19	64%	0.26	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	15	53%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.05	14	59%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.3	15.0	25.1	2.5	27.4	127.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.9%

CLE +3.2%

ATL -4.8%

CLE +10.3%

CLE +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.4	17.6	15.5	101.2	118.8	104.0
season	15.6	16.2		98.1	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		103.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	17.0	15.2	18.6	16.4
CLE	15.2	17.2	18.4	20.3	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	30	29	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-16	16	16.9	16.2	0.66	17.8	17.6	0.24
Boris Diaw	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-17	18	20.7	16.3	4.38	10.3	17.9	-7.57
Tyronn Lue	63	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-13	10	16.5	16.1	0.40	18.5	15.0	3.56
Tony Delk	12	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-7	-2	16.1	16.5	-0.42	13.5	18.3	-4.82
Kevin Willis	6	6	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-11	6	22.5	16.0	6.53	17.3	17.7	-0.32
Al Harrington	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-7	-2	16.2	17.5	-1.25	18.2	15.4	2.78
Antoine Walker	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-8	0	16.2	17.8	-1.59	18.5	11.9	6.58
Predrag Drobnjak	44	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-9	2	15.8	17.2	-1.40	17.0	18.4	-1.40
Josh Smith	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.4	16.6	-0.28	17.6	17.7	-0.05
Royal Ivey	21	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	-3	-10	16.1	16.5	-0.40	15.0	18.5	-3.56
Josh Childress	42	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	0	-16	16.6	16.3	0.36	17.6	17.6	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	34	34	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.03	22	-6	28	17.4	17.8	-0.37	18.1	15.3	2.87
Anderson Varejao	42	41	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	0	16	18.6	16.7	1.99	17.5	15.5	2.00
Jeff McInnis	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.01	16	0	16	17.0	19.1	-2.10	16.1	17.2	-1.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	11	-6	18.5	13.5	5.06	16.6	15.9	0.62
LeBron James	73	71	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	6	4	17.1	20.7	-3.53	15.9	19.4	-3.48
Robert Traylor	15	15	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	5	6	13.5	18.5	-5.06	15.9	16.6	-0.62
Sasha Pavlovic	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	15	-14	18.8	17.3	1.55	18.6	15.8	2.76
Eric Snow	30	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	12	-8	19.8	16.5	3.29	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Drew Gooden	43	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	16	-16	16.7	18.6	-1.99	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Ira Newble	39	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	21	-26	17.5	17.8	-0.27	15.4	17.4	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 53, DET 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
WAS 113, MIA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
PHX 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.7%