NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	5.6 [669]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +19.4%
Phoenix Suns	120		Comeback	1.0 [1242]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (PHX): -12.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	6	85%	0.18	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	-0.00	0.07	22	64%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	16	66%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	17	58%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Javon Freeman-Liberty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Nwora	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gradey Dick	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.06	0.06	12	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.09	0.05	19	70%	0.28	4	-0.08	12	92%	0.03
Grayson Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.26	-0.01	0.07	14	87%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	16	56%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.02	7	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	26.7	16.3	36.5	2.4	28.2	133.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.7%

PHX +3.8%

PHX +17.1%

TOR -9.9%

PHX +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	13.7	14.9	14.5	111.9	120.0	113.9
season	14.0	14.6		111.3	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.5	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	12.6	14.0	13.7	13.7
PHX	14.0	15.7	13.7	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javon Freeman-Liberty	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-9	11	14.4	13.4	0.96	14.6	15.1	-0.59
Jordan Nwora	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.4	13.7	0.69	11.7	15.2	-3.45
Kelly Olynyk	59	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-6	5	12.7	15.2	-2.44	15.6	14.0	1.67
Ochai Agbaji	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	1	-9	13.2	14.3	-1.07	15.5	14.4	1.08
Chris Boucher	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-7	7	14.8	12.8	2.00	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Immanuel Quickley	82	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-9	11	13.3	15.5	-2.13	15.2	13.5	1.75
Gary Trent Jr.	77	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	13.3	15.1	-1.81	15.1	14.5	0.57
RJ Barrett	79	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	0	-7	14.3	11.8	2.52	15.0	14.8	0.18
Gradey Dick	65	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	4	-15	14.2	12.9	1.37	14.1	16.4	-2.25

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	80	83	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-2	11	14.9	14.9	-0.04	13.3	15.8	-2.48
Kevin Durant	73	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-1	9	14.3	16.5	-2.19	13.7	14.0	-0.35
Royce O'Neale	66	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	-2	11	14.6	15.5	-0.92	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Drew Eubanks	43	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	-1	9	14.8	15.0	-0.15	14.6	13.1	1.46
Saben Lee	31	30	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	4	-1	15.4	14.7	0.63	14.8	13.3	1.50
Bradley Beal	69	70	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	7	-7	15.7	13.1	2.64	13.3	14.8	-1.58
Eric Gordon	50	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	10	-13	14.5	15.3	-0.84	14.3	13.2	1.13
Jusuf Nurkic	54	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	4	-1	14.9	15.0	-0.07	13.4	14.2	-0.74
Bol Bol	34	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	9	-11	15.5	14.6	0.92	14.1	13.6	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 95, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
MIA 87, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%