inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 87 Excitement4.4 [945] MVPBoris Diaw (SAS): +10.8%
San Antonio Spurs 111 Comeback1.0 [943] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -10.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.050,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.10-0.010.041669%0.083-0.033100%0.01
Chris Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01375%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Michael Beasley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.011055%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Oden0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001548%0.022-0.03367%-0.00
Shane Battier-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ray Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02555%0.023-0.061100%0.01
Norris Cole-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0240%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.130.02-0.011842%0.005-0.10978%0.02
Mario Chalmers-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.02736%-0.034-0.0700%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.030.025107%0.194-0.08580%0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.05-0.02664%0.101-0.01250%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.000.031374%0.123-0.045100%0.02
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.02567%0.051-0.002100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.01-0.051339%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01458%0.011-0.02475%-0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00650%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.011450%0.012-0.05683%0.01
Danny Green0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.03837%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.537.419.428.42.832.0150.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.7%
SAS +7.3%
SAS +4.8%
SAS +10.3%
MIA -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASASNBAMIASASNBA
this game14.614.215.187.0111.0105.2
season15.615.0109.7109.8
opponent15.015.8101.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.214.213.913.314.6
SAS14.113.515.513.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashard Lewis320.00-0.500.500.23-8-16815.014.60.4317.514.23.35
Udonis Haslem320.00-0.500.500.23-8-16815.014.60.4317.514.23.35
Toney Douglas320.00-0.500.500.23-8-16815.014.60.4317.514.23.35
Greg Oden1212-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-222012.714.8-2.0815.114.10.98
Michael Beasley4343-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-201614.914.30.5714.214.3-0.10
Norris Cole3737-0.08-0.420.340.09-6-181215.114.30.8414.314.20.12
Shane Battier3132-0.20-0.300.100.00-7-171015.614.11.5015.213.81.42
LeBron James7980-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-10-14414.315.7-1.4414.612.52.09
Chris Andersen3737-0.31-0.19-0.130.07-13-11-214.614.50.1113.214.8-1.59
Ray Allen4546-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-13215.014.20.7613.714.7-1.05
Dwyane Wade7777-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.13-8-16814.415.0-0.6014.015.0-1.01
Chris Bosh7474-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-14-10-414.215.7-1.4514.114.5-0.43
Mario Chalmers5656-0.46-0.04-0.420.15-21-3-1814.514.7-0.2614.114.3-0.22

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Boris Diaw79770.61-0.110.72-0.062312214.513.11.3614.116.0-1.90
Tiago Splitter41400.440.060.380.091212012.815.2-2.4014.814.40.45
Danny Green44450.290.210.09-0.001014-414.713.80.8714.414.7-0.37
Manu Ginobili39400.280.220.06-0.011014-414.514.10.4015.713.81.95
Tony Parker64650.280.220.06-0.041113-214.413.90.5214.814.20.63
Patty Mills38360.240.26-0.01-0.19159613.814.5-0.6514.314.7-0.47
Kawhi Leonard64630.160.34-0.19-0.02618-1214.713.41.3414.215.3-1.14
Tim Duncan68700.130.37-0.24-0.08717-1014.812.91.9314.714.20.50
Marco Belinelli50480.070.43-0.350.19-428-3212.815.7-2.8814.514.6-0.07
Matt Bonner230.000.50-0.50-0.23816-817.514.23.3515.014.60.43
Aron Baynes230.000.50-0.50-0.23816-817.514.23.3515.014.60.43
Austin Daye230.000.50-0.50-0.23816-817.514.23.3515.014.60.43
Cory Joseph77-0.010.51-0.51-0.18618-1212.414.4-1.9314.014.6-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 91, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
CHA 109, ATL 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.0%
BOS 87, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%