inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 91 Excitement4.4 [949] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +11.1%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback1.0 [849] LVPAvery Bradley (BOS): -7.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0.070,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.031656%0.133-0.054100%0.02
Amir Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.03560%0.072-0.0400%0.00
RJ Hunter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.023133%0.133-0.1000%0.00
Tyler Zeller0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01460%0.0100.002100%0.01
Evan Turner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.010.01955%0.052-0.044100%0.02
Terry Rozier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06487%0.0000.0000%0.00
Coty Clarke0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.01-0.03736%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Mickey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.0200.0020%-0.02
Marcus Smart-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00939%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.060,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01743%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011331%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.200.020.111476%0.183-0.071464%-0.02
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.000.021271%0.1000.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.04-0.041045%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.01356%0.0300.003100%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00570%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03583%0.062-0.042100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.02-0.041450%0.073-0.052100%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01440%0.0100.002100%0.01
Delon Wright00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Caboclo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02233%0.001-0.0220%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.00-0.07825%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.31.427.815.029.22.528.2126.4
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +38.5%
BOS -3.2%
TOR +4.7%
TOR +2.4%
TOR +7.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game13.516.814.996.8109.4105.1
season13.916.1104.5107.2
opponent14.815.0104.6101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.112.912.614.513.5
TOR17.816.516.716.116.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Coty Clarke550.00-0.500.50-0.155-192414.613.41.1515.216.9-1.66
James Young550.00-0.500.50-0.155-192414.613.41.1515.216.9-1.66
Terry Rozier2121-0.02-0.480.46-0.258-223013.813.40.3815.917.0-1.17
Kelly Olynyk5760-0.04-0.460.41-0.102-161813.014.4-1.3917.016.30.74
Jordan Mickey1718-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-161813.613.50.0915.517.1-1.56
Tyler Zeller2324-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-161813.613.50.1315.317.3-1.97
RJ Hunter2930-0.16-0.340.19-0.243-172014.113.20.9114.317.9-3.64
Evan Turner5959-0.24-0.260.030.12-12-2-1013.413.8-0.4217.915.02.93
Jared Sullinger3132-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-3-813.713.40.3019.115.63.44
Isaiah Thomas6364-0.26-0.24-0.030.20-162-1813.513.6-0.1517.615.22.38
Marcus Smart4648-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-12-2-1013.113.9-0.7914.818.7-3.92
Amir Johnson5150-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-206-2613.713.30.4716.816.70.10
Avery Bradley6364-0.560.06-0.610.21-2612-3813.613.30.2817.615.12.47

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry71720.51-0.010.51-0.0820-62617.315.22.1813.912.31.62
Cory Joseph56530.390.110.290.011311215.219.0-3.7812.714.5-1.82
Patrick Patterson45430.390.110.28-0.0515-11614.019.2-5.1713.413.6-0.21
Jason Thompson51480.380.120.270.09104615.817.9-2.1513.713.30.45
Terrence Ross54500.380.120.27-0.0615-11615.318.6-3.3313.513.5-0.02
DeMar DeRozan63610.140.36-0.210.03410-617.515.42.0513.214.0-0.75
Luis Scola38390.110.39-0.290.05212-1019.515.04.4713.213.7-0.52
Bismack Biyombo45450.100.40-0.30-0.0559-418.815.03.8213.713.30.34
Norman Powell38400.070.43-0.360.13-216-1819.415.04.3913.713.40.37
Lucas Nogueira13130.020.48-0.460.14-418-2215.317.0-1.6913.413.5-0.15
Delon Wright330.000.50-0.500.12-418-2213.716.9-3.2017.313.43.95
Bruno Caboclo330.000.50-0.500.12-418-2213.716.9-3.2017.313.43.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 109, ATL 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.4%
CHA 89, CLE 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
MIA 87, SAS 1110.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%