NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	4.1 [1045]		MVP	Ryan Hollins (CLE): +18.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.1 [942]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (CHA): -10.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	20	47%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.08	5	81%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DJ White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.01	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	14	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.07	0.05	7	100%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	7	82%	0.19	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.05
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	72%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	59%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	46%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	18	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	-0.07	8	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.6	27.4	15.3	24.8	1.8	26.5	122.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.7%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +4.5%

CHA -3.0%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.5	94.7	105.3	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		102.3	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	15.7	13.8	15.1	14.8
CLE	14.5	19.3	15.0	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-15	20	15.4	14.5	0.82	17.8	14.7	3.06
Gerald Henderson	68	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-10	10	14.7	15.2	-0.45	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Garrett Temple	15	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-1	-8	13.9	15.0	-1.07	13.6	16.2	-2.55
Boris Diaw	76	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	14.6	15.9	-1.38	15.6	16.5	-0.90
D.J. Augustin	79	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-9	8	15.0	13.9	1.07	16.2	13.6	2.55
Kwame Brown	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	4	-18	15.0	14.6	0.39	15.8	15.8	0.06
Matt Carroll	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	15.3	14.4	0.87	15.9	15.7	0.17
Dominic McGuire	35	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	0	-10	15.5	14.5	1.00	16.1	15.7	0.39
Dante Cunningham	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	5	-20	14.2	16.2	-1.96	14.8	17.8	-3.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	43	45	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-7	24	13.8	17.5	-3.72	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Luke Harangody	40	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-1	12	13.5	17.5	-4.02	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Daniel Gibson	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	3	4	15.1	16.7	-1.60	15.0	14.6	0.44
Anthony Parker	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	-1	12	16.5	14.8	1.69	14.9	14.7	0.29
Ryan Hollins	61	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	7	-4	16.2	15.1	1.15	15.0	14.5	0.47
JJ Hickson	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	3	4	16.1	14.9	1.19	14.9	14.6	0.28
Alonzo Gee	64	65	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	11	-12	15.5	16.5	-0.97	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Christian Eyenga	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	7	-4	17.2	15.6	1.65	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Joey Graham	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	11	-12	18.7	15.2	3.54	16.1	14.6	1.56
Baron Davis	51	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	17	-24	17.5	13.8	3.72	14.9	14.8	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
BOS 91, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
IND 83, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.0%