NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	3.9 [1016]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +17.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	1.0 [1033]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -8.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	15	63%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.07	25	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	89%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.03	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.03	0.03	16	81%	0.20	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	66%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	11	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	13	48%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	30.2	19.7	25.2	2.7	32.3	138.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.1%

POR -3.8%

MIN +6.3%

MIN +12.1%

MIN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.6	106.2	116.5	102.3
season	16.0	15.0		105.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		103.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.0	13.2	13.2	17.2	15.3
MIN	13.3	15.1	15.0	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-16	22	13.0	15.4	-2.37	14.7	14.4	0.34
Ruben Patterson	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-9	8	16.7	15.1	1.62	11.5	14.7	-3.19
Chris Dudley	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-7	4	13.4	15.5	-2.08	11.2	14.7	-3.53
Rick Brunson	13	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-11	12	13.9	15.5	-1.55	13.2	14.6	-1.40
Shawn Kemp	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-2	-6	16.0	15.0	1.01	13.1	14.8	-1.63
Steve Kerr	22	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	15.9	15.1	0.83	12.4	14.9	-2.49
Scottie Pippen	75	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.1	15.9	-0.83	14.9	12.4	2.49
Dale Davis	78	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-8	6	15.2	15.6	-0.45	15.2	11.4	3.73
Damon Stoudamire	84	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	15.5	13.9	1.55	14.6	13.2	1.40
Rasheed Wallace	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	3	-16	15.5	14.2	1.25	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Bonzi Wells	89	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	15.1	16.7	-1.62	14.7	11.5	3.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	72	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-7	24	14.2	15.2	-1.05	15.4	14.9	0.52
Kevin Garnett	90	89	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-1	12	14.5	13.9	0.61	15.4	14.1	1.25
Wally Szczerbiak	72	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	-2	14	14.8	13.3	1.54	15.3	15.1	0.23
Chauncey Billups	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	2	6	14.7	13.6	1.09	15.4	14.6	0.78
Rasho Nesterovic	64	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	14.5	14.4	0.09	14.9	16.0	-1.13
Gary Trent	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	10	-10	14.4	14.4	-0.04	15.6	15.0	0.57
Anthony Peeler	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	14.5	14.4	0.07	15.8	15.0	0.84
Felipe Lopez	27	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	12	-14	13.6	14.7	-1.15	13.5	15.9	-2.47
Dean Garrett	7	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	12	-14	12.9	14.5	-1.69	16.4	15.2	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
HOU 81, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 96, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.89,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	95.5%