NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	4.0 [995]		MVP	Jason Williams (MEM): +6.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	1.0 [607]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -12.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tierre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	13	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Terence Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	23	42%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	19	44%	-0.01	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	21	55%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	22	59%	0.07	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.03	0.06	14	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	54%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonis Fotsis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	24%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	-0.05	8	20%	-0.09	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	25.5	16.3	24.6	1.7	26.2	118.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.2%

MEM +1.3%

MEM +19.5%

MEM +0.3%

MEM +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.6	91.0	110.0	102.3
season	16.8	15.7		100.9	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		103.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.3	16.6	13.0	17.7	16.3
MEM	11.7	16.1	17.0	19.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	16.7	16.3	0.43	24.2	15.4	8.85
Oscar Torres	21	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-19	20	15.9	16.5	-0.63	19.3	14.7	4.60
Kenny Thomas	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-11	4	15.6	16.5	-0.82	12.5	16.5	-4.05
Jason Collier	51	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-14	10	16.0	16.8	-0.79	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Dan Langhi	52	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-16	14	15.7	17.2	-1.41	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Kevin Willis	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-12	6	17.2	16.0	1.26	16.2	15.7	0.49
Eddie Griffin	62	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	16.5	16.1	0.38	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Terence Morris	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-10	2	16.2	16.4	-0.22	18.9	14.1	4.80
Moochie Norris	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-2	-14	17.2	15.7	1.41	16.7	15.3	1.41
Steve Francis	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.06	-16	-2	-14	16.5	15.8	0.63	14.7	20.5	-5.82
Cuttino Mobley	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.17	-24	6	-30	16.4	16.2	0.12	15.1	19.6	-4.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	-3	24	15.2	24.8	-9.63	16.5	14.3	2.15
Shane Battier	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.26	24	-6	30	14.7	19.5	-4.78	16.9	14.4	2.43
Stromile Swift	54	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	0	18	17.1	14.0	3.03	16.9	15.4	1.54
Jason Williams	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	3	12	15.2	20.0	-4.79	16.2	17.2	-1.06
Grant Long	75	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	11	-4	15.6	16.9	-1.23	16.0	17.7	-1.69
Rodney Buford	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	13	-8	17.7	14.8	2.86	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Will Solomon	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	15	-12	20.0	15.2	4.79	17.2	16.2	1.06
Tony Massenburg	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	17	-16	14.5	16.9	-2.40	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Eddie Gill	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	25.5	15.4	10.10	17.3	16.3	1.03
Antonis Fotsis	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	25.5	15.4	10.10	17.3	16.3	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 89, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIA 100, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NYK 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.82,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%