NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	89		Excitement	3.9 [1017]		MVP	Andrew DeClercq (CLE): +6.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	1.0 [833]		LVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): -15.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	11	65%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	43%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	4	30%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	39%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	11	17%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	23	42%	-0.08	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	71%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	60%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.01	5	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-0.07	15	29%	-0.05	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	32.1	15.8	27.2	2.5	30.3	135.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.8%

CLE +8.5%

CLE +13.8%

CHH -15.3%

CLE +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CLE	NBA	CHH	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.2	88.1	105.0	101.7
season	14.9	14.1		101.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.0	13.4	15.8	13.8	14.5
CLE	12.1	14.8	14.2	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Hawkins	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	12.5	14.6	-2.06	19.0	13.9	5.10
Eddie Robinson	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-21	25	11.3	15.3	-3.95	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Baron Davis	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-12	7	14.7	14.4	0.32	16.1	12.8	3.37
Bobby Phills	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-14	11	14.1	14.7	-0.64	14.7	13.7	1.02
Ricky Davis	24	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-8	-1	15.2	14.3	0.85	18.3	12.6	5.74
Elden Campbell	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-11	5	15.0	14.2	0.79	12.6	15.1	-2.51
Todd Fuller	15	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-7	-3	15.2	14.4	0.80	18.0	13.3	4.70
Brad Miller	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-11	5	15.1	14.3	0.83	16.5	13.0	3.51
Eddie Jones	86	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-11	5	14.4	15.1	-0.65	13.4	17.3	-3.84
Anthony Mason	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-3	-11	14.7	13.8	0.95	13.0	17.8	-4.75
Derrick Coleman	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	14.7	14.2	0.51	12.5	16.6	-4.14
David Wesley	76	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	0	-17	14.4	14.9	-0.49	13.2	16.4	-3.26

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	-2	21	13.2	15.6	-2.45	14.9	13.9	1.02
Brevin Knight	69	70	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	2	13	12.3	17.7	-5.35	14.3	15.0	-0.70
Lamond Murray	72	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	4	9	12.7	17.3	-4.60	14.6	14.3	0.35
Mark Bryant	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	5	7	16.1	13.0	3.06	15.8	13.9	1.89
Wesley Person	36	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	8	1	16.4	12.7	3.76	13.7	15.0	-1.25
Bob Sura	65	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	9	-1	12.7	16.4	-3.76	15.0	13.7	1.25
Cedric Henderson	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	13	-9	17.3	12.7	4.60	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Andre Miller	37	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	12	-7	17.8	11.8	5.93	14.7	14.4	0.26
Danny Ferry	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	14	-11	15.3	13.2	2.13	13.2	15.4	-2.14
Shawn Kemp	59	60	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	20	-23	12.6	16.0	-3.46	14.4	14.6	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
MIN 75, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.82,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%