NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	3.5 [1073]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +19.1%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	1.1 [1098]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -8.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	9	64%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.05	13	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	31	41%	-0.03	3	-0.06	12	58%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.26	0.01	0.08	15	76%	0.22	2	-0.03	20	100%	0.05
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	79%	0.15	4	-0.04	9	78%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.05	13	81%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	10	68%	0.09	6	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	31.1	14.8	26.2	2.4	31.0	135.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.1%

PHX +14.1%

HOU -2.6%

HOU -12.4%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	14.0	15.4	116.5	127.1	105.7
season	16.2	13.8		104.6	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.1	14.8	16.0	13.4	15.8
PHX	12.2	13.4	13.3	17.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Harris	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-14	19	9.7	16.0	-6.35	9.7	14.2	-4.48
Steve Novak	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	11.0	15.9	-4.88	10.0	14.1	-4.10
Charles Hayes	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-9	9	16.0	15.8	0.22	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Luther Head	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-11	13	14.9	16.1	-1.20	14.9	13.7	1.21
Loren Woods	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.4	15.8	0.60	9.9	14.3	-4.48
Dikembe Mutombo	54	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-6	3	15.1	16.8	-1.69	15.3	12.2	3.10
Bobby Jackson	46	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-8	7	15.2	16.4	-1.20	14.5	13.6	0.99
Rafer Alston	66	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	16.1	15.2	0.88	13.4	15.3	-1.83
Carl Landry	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	3	-15	16.5	15.4	1.07	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Luis Scola	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	16.3	14.7	1.58	13.7	14.6	-0.86
Tracy McGrady	80	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-6	3	15.9	15.4	0.50	14.1	13.8	0.21
Shane Battier	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	5	-19	16.1	14.1	1.97	14.2	12.8	1.43

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	82	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-4	17	13.9	14.9	-0.99	16.1	14.2	1.84
Grant Hill	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	1	7	14.2	13.5	0.66	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	0	9	13.7	15.4	-1.69	16.4	13.2	3.26
Shaquille O'Neal	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	3	3	14.9	11.6	3.26	15.4	16.9	-1.50
Steve Nash	74	73	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	6	-3	14.2	13.2	1.02	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Boris Diaw	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	13.4	14.9	-1.47	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Gordan Giricek	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	6	-3	13.7	14.3	-0.69	15.7	15.9	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 89, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 86, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
GSW 83, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%