NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	3.1 [1118]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): +10.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	1.0 [767]		LVP	Bob Sura (GSW): -10.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	21	57%	0.10	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Porter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	5	75%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Chris Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	11	18%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	0.00	-0.06	8	36%	-0.03	5	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	13	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	16	47%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	12	57%	0.07	6	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	5	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	32.3	15.0	23.0	2.5	32.5	131.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.5%

GSW -0.5%

LAC +4.1%

LAC +5.2%

GSW -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.5	90.2	115.2	100.9
season	15.0	16.1		95.3	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.9		102.6	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.7	13.8	15.5	15.7	15.4
LAC	16.0	15.0	18.0	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	16	18	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.18	-6	-17	11	13.3	15.8	-2.52	14.6	16.2	-1.69
Chris Porter	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	12.1	15.7	-3.52	11.0	16.4	-5.38
Marc Jackson	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.24	-9	-14	5	15.7	15.3	0.32	12.3	16.4	-4.12
Adonal Foyle	10	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-16	9	13.9	15.6	-1.67	12.5	16.4	-3.93
Adam Keefe	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.18	-12	-11	-1	16.3	14.7	1.62	14.8	16.7	-1.82
Mookie Blaylock	46	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	-11	-1	14.8	16.0	-1.22	14.8	17.1	-2.34
Erick Dampier	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-14	5	15.5	15.1	0.42	17.0	14.2	2.76
Bob Sura	64	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-11	-1	15.8	14.5	1.28	16.9	13.9	3.03
Chris Mills	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.03	-14	-9	-5	15.2	15.7	-0.48	16.5	14.9	1.59
Larry Hughes	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-9	-5	16.0	13.7	2.26	16.4	14.3	2.14
Antawn Jamison	80	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-6	-11	15.3	15.7	-0.32	16.5	12.1	4.40

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	82	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	9	5	15.9	16.0	-0.10	15.6	13.6	1.93
Lamar Odom	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-2	27	16.5	12.7	3.88	15.9	12.7	3.26
Jeff McInnis	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.38	28	-5	33	16.8	13.3	3.55	16.5	12.3	4.14
Derek Strong	59	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.15	18	5	13	17.0	14.0	2.98	16.4	13.5	2.95
Sean Rooks	58	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	8	7	15.2	17.1	-1.82	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Michael Olowokandi	28	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	13	-3	18.8	14.7	4.13	16.8	14.8	2.00
Darius Miles	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	18	-13	14.0	17.0	-2.98	13.5	16.4	-2.95
Keyon Dooling	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	28	-33	13.3	16.8	-3.55	12.3	16.5	-4.14
Eric Piatkowski	24	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	21	-19	14.0	16.6	-2.59	13.1	16.1	-3.02
Corey Maggette	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	9.7	16.4	-6.71	12.1	15.7	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 84, NOP 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NJN 89, ATL 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.7%