NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	2.8 [1212]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +9.3%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	1.1 [1071]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -10.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.19	0.00	0.15	15	87%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mike James	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	12	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.03	16	69%	0.16	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	12	61%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	12	31%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	24.3	15.7	22.3	2.5	32.4	123.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.2%

CHI +4.0%

CHI +5.1%

CHI +6.7%

CHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.5	95.6	108.9	106.4
season	15.9	14.8		103.5	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.5	16.6	16.3	13.0	15.9
CHI	15.2	15.4	16.4	17.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-9	6	14.4	16.1	-1.70	12.3	16.7	-4.41
Juan Dixon	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-12	12	16.4	15.8	0.65	18.6	15.9	2.68
Darius Songaila	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-13	14	14.7	16.7	-1.98	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Etan Thomas	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-8	4	18.3	15.2	3.14	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Nick Young	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-16	20	14.5	17.7	-3.26	16.4	15.8	0.66
Javaris Crittenton	43	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-13	14	16.2	15.5	0.68	16.7	15.6	1.09
Dominic McGuire	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-1	-10	16.2	15.7	0.56	15.5	16.5	-1.01
Andray Blatche	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	16.3	15.4	0.92	16.9	15.4	1.48
Mike James	51	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	5	-22	16.2	15.4	0.79	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Caron Butler	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	3	-18	16.1	14.7	1.35	15.6	18.6	-3.02
Antawn Jamison	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	-4	-4	15.8	16.1	-0.33	17.0	12.0	5.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	0	12	16.7	14.8	1.83	15.9	15.7	0.20
Ben Gordon	60	62	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-1	14	16.2	16.0	0.17	16.3	14.9	1.35
Drew Gooden	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-1	14	15.7	18.2	-2.58	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Derrick Rose	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	4	4	17.1	13.7	3.45	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Thabo Sefolosha	41	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	0	12	16.0	16.3	-0.31	16.3	15.5	0.80
Andres Nocioni	39	40	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	8	-4	15.5	16.6	-1.16	16.1	15.7	0.44
Joakim Noah	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	13	-14	16.2	16.1	0.08	16.1	15.6	0.54
Lindsey Hunter	26	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	8	-4	13.7	17.1	-3.45	16.9	15.5	1.42
Larry Hughes	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	17	-22	16.9	15.6	1.31	14.5	16.9	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, DET 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NJN 79, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIN 77, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%