inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 95 Excitement3.1 [1185] MVPAnthony Tolliver (DET): +20.0%
Detroit Pistons 117 Comeback1.0 [1307] LVPRobin Lopez (CHI): -5.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerian Grant0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.021050%0.0400.0000%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.03671%0.0300.002100%0.00
Denzel Valentine0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.051464%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Cameron Payne0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.011045%0.0100.00250%0.00
David Nwaba0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.001248%0.021-0.00367%-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Noah Vonleh-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.051343%0.043-0.06250%-0.01
Justin Holiday-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02928%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Paul Zipser-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0320%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Portis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.041338%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Robin Lopez-0.050,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01729%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.210.000.011576%0.2000.003100%0.00
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.00-0.00978%0.102-0.0200%0.00
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.02965%0.0810.002100%0.01
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.020.04968%0.0600.00475%-0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01963%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.010.021062%0.042-0.02475%-0.00
James Ennis III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04959%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Blake Griffin0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04862%0.054-0.0400%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Henry Ellenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Moreland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dwight Buycks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.622.515.225.92.027.2116.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +44.3%
DET +5.3%
CHI -3.7%
DET +2.6%
DET +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDETNBACHIDETNBA
this game14.415.614.799.0121.9107.5
season14.214.9103.2106.4
opponent14.715.0106.3110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.114.415.813.614.4
DET15.915.015.515.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cristiano Felicio3836-0.01-0.490.49-0.279-314015.413.81.5816.614.91.63
Ryan Arcidiacono1922-0.04-0.460.410.04-3-191613.214.7-1.5317.115.12.04
Paul Zipser3232-0.13-0.370.23-0.05-3-191613.215.0-1.8316.415.11.27
Jerian Grant4746-0.19-0.310.110.13-11-11014.114.8-0.7314.816.3-1.54
David Nwaba5252-0.22-0.280.060.13-12-10-215.113.71.4414.317.0-2.70
Noah Vonleh4850-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-13415.713.12.6215.615.50.16
Denzel Valentine5656-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-5-1213.915.1-1.1815.915.00.92
Bobby Portis5353-0.29-0.21-0.080.24-18-4-1413.215.9-2.6615.016.3-1.34
Justin Holiday4242-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-11-11014.914.10.7516.514.81.71
Cameron Payne5856-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-6-1015.013.51.5115.116.1-1.01
Robin Lopez3535-0.40-0.10-0.290.16-19-3-1614.014.7-0.6915.315.7-0.35

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Bullock57580.430.070.35-0.131931615.315.9-0.5614.614.20.46
Andre Drummond71710.390.110.29-0.192021815.615.40.2214.514.40.05
Blake Griffin52520.380.120.26-0.121751215.915.10.8315.113.71.35
Ish Smith47470.340.160.19-0.07148614.816.3-1.4813.115.8-2.69
Stanley Johnson25250.260.240.01-0.101210215.415.6-0.1714.514.40.11
Anthony Tolliver54540.220.28-0.05-0.19148614.916.5-1.5813.615.5-1.80
Luke Kennard54540.170.33-0.16-0.03715-816.114.91.2114.015.0-0.92
Reggie Jackson43430.160.34-0.19-0.141012-216.215.11.1315.813.32.49
James Ennis III50490.150.35-0.21-0.09814-615.116.0-0.8814.514.40.15
Langston Galloway660.000.50-0.500.06-224-2617.015.51.5315.314.40.96
Henry Ellenson660.000.50-0.500.06-224-2617.015.51.5315.314.40.96
Eric Moreland990.000.50-0.500.15-527-3216.115.50.6114.914.40.50
Dwight Buycks660.000.50-0.500.06-224-2617.015.51.5315.314.40.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 86, CHI 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,197.3%
MIN 77, TOR 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
CHA 75, WAS 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%