NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	75		Excitement	2.6 [998]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +3.8%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	1.0 [782]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -10.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	74%	0.06	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	9	59%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
DJ White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cory Higgins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.04	4	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.22	0.00	-0.11	19	21%	-0.09	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	86%	0.04	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	18	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	67%	0.04	7	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	28.5	16.4	24.7	2.7	31.2	132.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +29.9%

WAS +2.2%

WAS +11.1%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.6	78.9	96.8	102.8
season	16.3	15.0		94.1	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		104.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.6	15.0	13.6	16.3	15.8
WAS	14.1	13.8	15.8	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-25	33	16.1	15.7	0.45	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Eduardo Najera	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-16	15	9.2	16.2	-6.96	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Bismack Biyombo	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-17	17	15.4	16.2	-0.88	13.8	15.3	-1.55
DJ White	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-10	3	17.6	15.4	2.25	12.8	14.9	-2.09
Cory Higgins	42	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-17	17	15.3	16.2	-0.90	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Boris Diaw	40	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-5	-7	16.6	15.2	1.36	14.7	14.4	0.35
Byron Mullens	37	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.16	-15	-2	-13	14.8	16.4	-1.65	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Derrick Brown	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-2	-13	16.8	14.4	2.38	14.7	14.3	0.39
Tyrus Thomas	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-8	-1	15.2	17.0	-1.82	15.6	12.2	3.41
Matt Carroll	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	0	-17	15.7	16.2	-0.56	13.6	17.0	-3.36
Kemba Walker	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	0	-17	16.3	14.4	1.84	15.5	11.3	4.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	47	47	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	2	13	14.9	14.2	0.68	16.0	15.5	0.50
JaVale McGee	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	3	11	15.8	13.5	2.29	15.9	15.7	0.20
John Wall	52	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	8	1	15.3	13.6	1.68	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Nick Young	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	12	-7	15.2	13.5	1.71	15.9	15.6	0.38
Rashard Lewis	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.17	16	1	15	15.5	13.7	1.80	17.0	14.7	2.22
Chris Singleton	49	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	16	-15	13.7	15.5	-1.80	14.7	17.0	-2.22
Jordan Crawford	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	5	7	13.5	15.2	-1.71	15.6	15.9	-0.38
Shelvin Mack	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	9	-1	13.6	15.3	-1.68	16.3	15.4	0.85
Jan Vesely	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	6	5	13.1	15.4	-2.32	17.1	14.9	2.11
Kevin Seraphin	45	45	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	15	-13	14.0	15.0	-0.92	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Trevor Booker	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.25	-8	25	-33	14.7	14.5	0.28	12.8	16.5	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ATL 88, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 95, DET 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%