NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	3.1 [1170]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +9.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	105		Comeback	1.0 [1208]		LVP	Jeff Taylor (CHA): -9.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	90%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	16	75%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	19	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Taylor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	9	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.04	13	74%	0.13	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.02	0.09	4	100%	0.05	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jeff Withey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	16	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	50%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	28.4	14.7	29.2	1.7	25.2	130.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +30.3%

NOP +14.0%

NOP +2.7%

NOP +2.1%

NOP +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	15.9	13.9	15.1	87.5	108.2	105.2
season	15.7	15.5		102.4	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		108.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.4	14.7	14.8	18.1	15.9
NOP	12.9	13.1	14.0	16.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	16.5	15.9	0.62	15.3	13.8	1.55
Ben Gordon	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-21	21	16.1	15.9	0.23	13.6	14.0	-0.46
Jeff Adrien	45	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-17	13	15.8	16.0	-0.20	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Anthony Tolliver	46	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.02	-3	-18	15	16.1	15.8	0.27	15.0	13.0	1.92
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-16	11	16.1	15.8	0.25	14.1	13.8	0.25
Cody Zeller	19	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-12	3	14.5	16.3	-1.75	12.6	14.3	-1.67
Josh McRoberts	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-12	3	16.6	15.6	0.97	13.3	14.2	-0.86
Gerald Henderson	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-6	-9	17.1	14.5	2.61	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Ramon Sessions	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-10	-1	15.8	16.3	-0.50	14.9	11.7	3.18
Jeff Taylor	52	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-11	1	14.6	17.5	-2.90	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Kemba Walker	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.31	-24	3	-27	16.0	15.8	0.17	13.5	14.5	-1.09
Bismack Biyombo	51	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.09	-17	-4	-13	16.0	15.8	0.20	14.7	13.1	1.63

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-1	23	13.3	15.9	-2.55	16.2	15.1	1.08
Jrue Holiday	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	6	9	13.3	15.3	-1.97	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Tyreke Evans	65	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	4	13	14.2	13.5	0.69	15.6	16.5	-0.97
Al-Farouq Aminu	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	9	3	12.7	15.1	-2.38	16.0	15.9	0.14
Jason Smith	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	14	-7	13.2	15.0	-1.81	15.9	15.9	0.00
Eric Gordon	42	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	14	-7	13.0	14.7	-1.72	16.3	15.6	0.72
Anthony Morrow	41	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	15	-9	16.0	12.4	3.55	16.0	15.9	0.04
Greg Stiemsma	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.30	15	6	9	15.0	13.4	1.55	15.8	16.0	-0.12
Lance Thomas	29	26	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	17	-13	15.6	13.2	2.37	15.1	16.2	-1.17
Brian Roberts	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	15	-9	15.3	13.3	1.97	17.0	15.5	1.46
Jeff Withey	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	16.0	13.9	2.14	18.0	15.9	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NYK 85, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAC 85, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%